沙田 · 2020-04-05
第 6場
2020-04-05沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的DEFINING MOMENT勝出，贏出N。ENJOY LIFE獲得亞軍；PARTY EVERYDAY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DEFINING MOMENT 後段發力 V1 1.35.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 3.2 | N |
| 2 | 12 | ENJOY LIFE 後段發力 B- T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 1 | 38.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 13 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | PLIKCLONE 後段發力 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 45.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GO BALLISTIC 後段發力 SR-/B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | KING DRAGON B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 4 | 4.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | TREASURE CHEST 早段領放 CP H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | MY WINNER 後段發力 B G van Niekerk · R Gibson | G van Niekerk | R Gibson | 14 | 18.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | STARSHIP 後段發力 B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 11.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY ICHIBAN K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 28.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | VICTORY VISION 後段發力 B H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 308.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | VIGOR CHAMP K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 179.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE V C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 18.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | EVEN KEEL TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 7 | 197.0 | 21-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DEFINING MOMENT | 25.6% | 3.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 18.3% | 5.46 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | KING DRAGON | 11.9% | 8.40 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE | 8.7% | 11.47 | 13 |
| 5 | 1 | STARSHIP | 6.8% | 14.71 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | GO BALLISTIC | 4.9% | 20.38 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | MY WINNER | 4.8% | 20.84 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 4.7% | 21.12 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | TREASURE CHEST | 4.7% | 21.46 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | PLIKCLONE | 3.4% | 29.69 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | ENJOY LIFE | 2.9% | 34.12 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | VIGOR CHAMP | 1.6% | 62.05 | 12 |
| 13 | 2 | EVEN KEEL | 0.9% | 105.93 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | VICTORY VISION | 0.7% | 141.15 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 32
PLACE
5 13.5
9 18.5
12 79.5
QUINELLA
5,12 712
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 40
5,12 182
9,12 258.5
TIERCE
5,12,9 4,717
TRIO
5,9,12 871
FIRST 4
5,9,12,13 5,262
QUARTET
5,12,9,13 103,047
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
8/5 428
8/12 469
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,5/7,8,10/5,9,12 368,464
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,5/7,8,10/Any Combination 719