沙田 · 2020-04-05
第 10場
2020-04-05沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、F C Lor訓練的EVERYONE'S JOY勝出，贏出N。FARHH ABOVE獲得亞軍；SUCH A HAPPINESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門FARHH ABOVE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | EVERYONE'S JOY 後段發力 CP/XB/TT 1.22.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 11 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | FARHH ABOVE 後段發力 XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 9 | 3.1 | N |
| 3 | 14 | SUCH A HAPPINESS 後段發力 B1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 9.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | EMERALD SPUR 後段發力 CP-/B1/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | HALL OF CHAMP 後段發力 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | TOUCH OF LUCK 後段發力 CP M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 2 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | BIG BANG BONG 後段發力 TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 128.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | ULTIMATE GLORY 後段發力 V Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 3 | 6.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | THE HULK V B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 1 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | FLYING BONUS 早段領放 T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 7 | 52.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GLORIOUS LOVER G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 14 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAUTY DAY B/H V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 10 | 25.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 13 | 45.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | CRAIG'S STAR B C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | 8 | 9.9 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FARHH ABOVE | 32.2% | 3.11 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 8.3% | 12.05 | 6 |
| 3 | 13 | EMERALD SPUR | 7.8% | 12.75 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 7.5% | 13.28 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 7.5% | 13.34 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 6.8% | 14.71 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY DAY | 6.7% | 14.94 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | CRAIG'S STAR | 6.4% | 15.67 | 14 |
| 9 | 7 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 4.0% | 24.92 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | SUCH A HAPPINESS | 3.9% | 25.76 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | HALL OF CHAMP | 3.4% | 29.24 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | FLYING BONUS | 2.5% | 39.53 | 10 |
| 13 | 2 | THE HULK | 2.1% | 47.29 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | BIG BANG BONG | 0.8% | 124.51 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 142
PLACE
1 15.5
9 39.5
14 30
QUINELLA
1,9 260.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 101.5
1,14 75
9,14 225.5
TIERCE
9,1,14 6,778
TRIO
1,9,14 768
FIRST 4
1,9,13,14 1,465
QUARTET
9,1,14,13 57,197
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24.5
A1 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,9,14 139,595
9TH DOUBLE
7/1 56.5
7/9 1,210
SIX UP
8,10/5,12/1,7/11,13/7,9/1,9 13,840
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
13/7/1 3,639
13/7/9 41,329