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Sha Tin · 2020-04-05

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-05 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EVERYONE'S JOY, ridden by C Schofield and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with FARHH ABOVE second and SUCH A HAPPINESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite FARHH ABOVE finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.22.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 EVERYONE'S JOY Closed strongly CP/XB/TT 1.22.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · F C Lor 11 14.0 N
2 1 FARHH ABOVE Closed strongly XB J Moreira · D J Whyte 9 3.1 N
3 14 SUCH A HAPPINESS Closed strongly B1 K Teetan · A T Millard 4 9.3 1
4 13 EMERALD SPUR Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu 5 6.7 1-1/4
5 6 HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 6 12.0 2-1/2
6 11 TOUCH OF LUCK Closed strongly CP M Chadwick · J Moore 2 21.0 4-1/2
7 10 BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly TT K C Leung · C W Chang 12 128.0 5
8 8 ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly V Z Purton · K L Man 3 6.3 5-1/4
9 2 THE HULK V B Shinn · C Fownes 1 14.0 6-1/4
10 12 FLYING BONUS Led early T H So · C H Yip 7 52.0 6-1/4
11 3 GLORIOUS LOVER G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui 14 44.0 6-3/4
12 4 BEAUTY DAY B/H V Borges · T P Yung 10 25.0 8-1/2
13 7 CALIFORNIA ARGENT H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 13 45.0 9-1/4
14 5 CRAIG'S STAR B C Wong · C S Shum 8 9.9 11-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EVERYONE'S JOY2. FARHH ABOVE+0.05L3. SUCH A HAPPINESS+1L4. EMERALD SPUR+1.25L5. HALL OF CHAMP+2.5L6. TOUCH OF LUCK+4.5L7. BIG BANG BONG+5L8. ULTIMATE GLORY+5.25L9. THE HULK+6.25L10. FLYING BONUS+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick FARHH ABOVE (32.2%) finished 2nd — the winner EVERYONE'S JOY was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 FARHH ABOVE 32.2% 3.11 2
2 11 TOUCH OF LUCK 8.3% 12.05 6
3 13 EMERALD SPUR 7.8% 12.75 4
4 8 ULTIMATE GLORY 7.5% 13.28 8
5 9 EVERYONE'S JOY 7.5% 13.34 1
6 3 GLORIOUS LOVER 6.8% 14.71 11
7 4 BEAUTY DAY 6.7% 14.94 12
8 5 CRAIG'S STAR 6.4% 15.67 14
9 7 CALIFORNIA ARGENT 4.0% 24.92 13
10 14 SUCH A HAPPINESS 3.9% 25.76 3
11 6 HALL OF CHAMP 3.4% 29.24 5
12 12 FLYING BONUS 2.5% 39.53 10
13 2 THE HULK 2.1% 47.29 9
14 10 BIG BANG BONG 0.8% 124.51 7
FARHH ABOVETOUCH OF LUCKEMERALD SPURULTIMATE GLORYEVERYONE'S JOY — wonGLORIOUS LOVERBEAUTY DAYCRAIG'S STARCALIFORNIA ARGENTSUCH A HAPPINESSHALL OF CHAMPFLYING BONUSTHE HULKBIG BANG BONG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 142

PLACE

1 15.5

9 39.5

14 30

QUINELLA

1,9 260.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 101.5

1,14 75

9,14 225.5

TIERCE

9,1,14 6,778

TRIO

1,9,14 768

FIRST 4

1,9,13,14 1,465

QUARTET

9,1,14,13 57,197

3 PICK 1

A2

A3 24.5

A1

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,9/1,9,14 139,595

9TH DOUBLE

7/1 56.5

7/9 1,210

SIX UP

8,10/5,12/1,7/11,13/7,9/1,9 13,840

1 [J Moreira]

TREBLE

13/7/1 3,639

13/7/9 41,329