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Sha Tin · 2020-04-05

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.62
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly V1 1.35.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 3 3.2 N
2 0 ENJOY LIFE Closed strongly B- T H So · Y S Tsui 1 38.0 N
3 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 13 4.9 1-1/4
4 0 PLIKCLONE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 10 45.0 3-3/4
5 0 GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR-/B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris 9 11.0 4-1/4
6 0 KING DRAGON B C Y Ho · K L Man 4 4.4 6-1/4
7 0 TREASURE CHEST Led early CP H W Lai · P F Yiu 2 11.0 6-3/4
8 0 MY WINNER Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · R Gibson 14 18.0 8
9 0 STARSHIP Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan 5 11.0 9-1/4
9 0 HAPPY ICHIBAN K Teetan · D J Whyte 11 28.0 9-1/4
11 0 VICTORY VISION Closed strongly B H N Wong · C H Yip 6 308.0 9-1/2
12 0 VIGOR CHAMP K C Leung · T P Yung 8 179.0 13-1/2
13 0 CROWN AVENUE V C Wong · C H Yip 12 18.0 20-1/4
14 0 EVEN KEEL TT M L Yeung · L Ho 7 197.0 21-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DEFINING MOMENT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with ENJOY LIFE second and PARTY EVERYDAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DEFINING MOMENT—2. ENJOY LIFE+0.05L3. PARTY EVERYDAY+1.25L4. PLIKCLONE+3.75L5. GO BALLISTIC+4.25L6. KING DRAGON+6.25L7. TREASURE CHEST+6.75L8. MY WINNER+8L9. STARSHIP+9.25L9. HAPPY ICHIBAN+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick DEFINING MOMENT (25.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DEFINING MOMENT 25.6% 3.90 1
2 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 18.3% 5.46 3
3 0 KING DRAGON 11.9% 8.40 6
4 0 CROWN AVENUE 8.7% 11.47 13
5 0 STARSHIP 6.8% 14.71 9
6 0 GO BALLISTIC 4.9% 20.38 5
7 0 MY WINNER 4.8% 20.84 8
8 0 HAPPY ICHIBAN 4.7% 21.12 9
9 0 TREASURE CHEST 4.7% 21.46 7
10 0 PLIKCLONE 3.4% 29.69 4
11 0 ENJOY LIFE 2.9% 34.12 2
12 0 VIGOR CHAMP 1.6% 62.05 12
13 0 EVEN KEEL 0.9% 105.93 14
14 0 VICTORY VISION 0.7% 141.15 11
DEFINING MOMENT — wonPARTY EVERYDAYKING DRAGONCROWN AVENUESTARSHIPGO BALLISTICMY WINNERHAPPY ICHIBANTREASURE CHESTPLIKCLONEENJOY LIFEVIGOR CHAMPEVEN KEELVICTORY VISION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 32

PLACE

5 13.5

9 18.5

12 79.5

QUINELLA

5,12 712

QUINELLA PLACE

5,9 40

5,12 182

9,12 258.5

TIERCE

5,12,9 4,717

TRIO

5,9,12 871

FIRST 4

5,9,12,13 5,262

QUARTET

5,12,9,13 103,047

3 PICK 1

A1 18.5

A2 —

A3 —

All pools (3 more)

5TH DOUBLE

8/5 428

8/12 469

TRIPLE TRIO

2,4,5/7,8,10/5,9,12 368,464

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,4,5/7,8,10/Any Combination 719