Sha Tin · 2020-04-05
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT 2.01.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly XB/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 1.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 4 | 40.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HO HO KHAN Closed strongly C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 8 | 8.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVVY NINE TT C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 5 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CHEFANO CP G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 3 | 5.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 44.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | EAGLE WAY B/TT B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 9 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE Led early B N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 2 | 66.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DARK DREAM B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 12.0 | 34-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-05 was Class 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. HELENE LEADINGSTAR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with BUTTERFIELD second and HELENE CHARISMA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite BUTTERFIELD finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 43.1% | 2.32 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEFANO | 17.7% | 5.64 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 11.1% | 8.98 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | DARK DREAM | 6.2% | 16.19 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 5.3% | 18.72 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | HO HO KHAN | 4.4% | 22.64 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 3.7% | 26.87 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | HELENE CHARISMA | 3.4% | 29.33 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 2.8% | 35.85 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | EAGLE WAY | 2.2% | 46.42 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 100
PLACE
7 76.5
8 27
10 11
QUINELLA
8,10 77.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 208
7,10 74
8,10 34.5
TIERCE
8,10,7 3,047
TRIO
7,8,10 474
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 593
QUARTET
8,10,7,4 20,204
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 49
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
5/8 188
5/10 10.5