跑馬地 · 2020-04-08
第 6場
2020-04-08跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、J Moore訓練的LARSON勝出，贏出1。BE READY獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA ARCHER獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LARSON CP 0.56.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 9 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | BE READY B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | ALLIED AGILITY H/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | BALTIC WHISPER TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 4 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 6 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | AMAZING KIWI B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 7 | 7.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | SPECIAL STARS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | EZRA B/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 11 | 32.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | BLOTTING PAPER B/H T H So · R Gibson | T H So | R Gibson | 1 | 73.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BE READY | 15.5% | 6.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 13.1% | 7.64 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | LARSON | 12.9% | 7.74 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | ALLIED AGILITY | 11.5% | 8.67 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | SPECIAL STARS | 10.1% | 9.87 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | AMAZING KIWI | 7.9% | 12.59 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | BALTIC WHISPER | 6.7% | 14.93 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | EZRA | 5.4% | 18.66 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 5.3% | 19.05 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 5.0% | 20.14 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | CALIFORNIA ARCHER | 4.8% | 20.90 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | BLOTTING PAPER | 1.8% | 56.04 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 33.5
PLACE
4 33.5
6 38
9 15.5
QUINELLA
4,9 184
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 202.5
4,9 62.5
6,9 81
TIERCE
9,4,6 3,206
TRIO
4,6,9 649
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 1,094
QUARTET
9,4,6,3 20,615
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,10/4,6,9 20,184
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 19.5
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 93
5/9 305
TRIPLE TRIO
8,9,10/5,7,10/4,6,9 1,118,253
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
8,9,10/5,7,10/Any Combination 654