跑馬地 · 2020-04-08
第 1場
2020-04-08跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、K H Ting訓練的SHADOW BREAKER勝出，贏出1-1/4。EVERYONE'S ELITE獲得亞軍；PARTY TOGETHER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.1倍大熱門EVERYONE'S ELITE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SHADOW BREAKER 後段發力 1.49.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 6 | 29.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | EVERYONE'S ELITE 後段發力 B J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 3 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | PARTY TOGETHER 後段發力 TT- M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | FLAME LILY TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS 後段發力 B- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | DIONYSUS COLLIN 後段發力 H M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 12 | 6.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | FANTASTIC BOY B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 2 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | PLAY WISE 後段發力 B C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GALAXY EMPEROR 早段領放 CP/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 11 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | YOU HAVE MY WORD H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 156.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SALTO OLIMPICO B B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 8 | 40.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | CENTENARY IBIS CP-/XB/B1 V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 10 | 185.0 | 26-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | EVERYONE'S ELITE | 50.7% | 1.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 9.8% | 10.22 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | FANTASTIC BOY | 8.9% | 11.21 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | FLAME LILY | 6.8% | 14.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | PARTY TOGETHER | 5.5% | 18.16 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | SHADOW BREAKER | 5.1% | 19.64 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 4.3% | 23.20 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | PLAY WISE | 3.7% | 26.84 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 3.3% | 30.33 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 0.7% | 141.09 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 0.6% | 161.02 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | CENTENARY IBIS | 0.6% | 174.12 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 295.5
PLACE
1 18
6 66
9 11.5
QUINELLA
6,9 350
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 207
1,9 31.5
6,9 103
TIERCE
6,9,1 6,035
TRIO
1,6,9 432
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 1,560
QUARTET
6,9,1,3 41,273
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 46.5