跑馬地 · 2020-04-08
第 8場
2020-04-08跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的THIS IS CLASS勝出，贏出N。LOVING A BOOM獲得亞軍；HONG KONG BET獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門STRONGER跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | THIS IS CLASS CP/H 0.56.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 12 | LOVING A BOOM B/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 2 | 9.2 | N |
| 3 | 5 | HONG KONG BET TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MR LUMIERES M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 48.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNER SUPREME H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | STRONGER CP Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 4 | 2.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CUE THE MUSIC SR/TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 12 | 80.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | GENTLE BREEZE B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MOMENT OF POWER B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 55.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 7 | 74.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | REFINED TREASURE B/XB/TT1 C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 8 | 61.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HONG KONG WIN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STRONGER | 20.1% | 4.98 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 17.5% | 5.72 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | THIS IS CLASS | 16.7% | 5.98 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | LOVING A BOOM | 10.5% | 9.54 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | WINNER SUPREME | 7.7% | 12.90 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | HONG KONG BET | 7.0% | 14.37 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | MR LUMIERES | 6.1% | 16.35 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | GENTLE BREEZE | 4.9% | 20.35 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | REFINED TREASURE | 4.5% | 22.44 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 2.1% | 47.16 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | CUE THE MUSIC | 1.7% | 59.50 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | MOMENT OF POWER | 1.3% | 78.56 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 43.5
PLACE
5 19
10 16.5
12 22
QUINELLA
10,12 159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 52
5,12 82
10,12 55
TIERCE
10,12,5 1,596
TRIO
5,10,12 352
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 1,117
QUARTET
10,12,5,6 15,700
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 20.5
A1 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,8/5,10,12 18,789
7TH DOUBLE
4/10 310
4/12 79.5
SIX UP
6/10/5/9/4/10 5,537,044
6,10/9,10/5,7/4,9/4,7/10,12 5,939
9 [C Schofield] —
TREBLE
9/4/10 1,170
9/4/12 450