跑馬地 · 2020-04-08
第 5場
2020-04-08跑馬地第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的YOUNG LEGEND勝出，贏出1。PING HAI GALAXY獲得亞軍；DIAMOND BRILLIANT獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門DIAMOND BRILLIANT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YOUNG LEGEND H/TT 1.09.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 3 | 9.8 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT CP/TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 5 | 2.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | GOOD FOR YOU B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY AMIGO B V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 12 | 8.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 8 | 34.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | JUMBO HAPPINESS B N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SEVENTH SEA SR B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 6 | 24.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | SUNSET WATCH XB/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY FAMILY B-/H T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 11 | 216.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | COPARTNER SPIRIT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 10 | 217.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | SUNNY LAD B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 54.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 31.3% | 3.19 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | YOUNG LEGEND | 12.0% | 8.33 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SUNSET WATCH | 11.0% | 9.12 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | GOOD FOR YOU | 10.4% | 9.58 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | JUMBO HAPPINESS | 8.8% | 11.31 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 8.8% | 11.34 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY | 7.7% | 12.91 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | SEVENTH SEA | 3.5% | 28.51 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | PRANCE DRAGON | 2.5% | 39.86 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY FAMILY | 1.9% | 51.68 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | SUNNY LAD | 1.1% | 89.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | COPARTNER SPIRIT | 0.8% | 127.07 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 40.5
PLACE
5 16
7 27.5
10 11.5
QUINELLA
5,7 217.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 69
5,10 26
7,10 39.5
TIERCE
5,7,10 1,107
TRIO
5,7,10 123
FIRST 4
5,7,10,12 182
QUARTET
5,7,10,12 5,745
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
10/5 249
10/7 53