沙田 · 2020-04-26
第 9場
2020-04-26沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Moore訓練的COMPUTER PATCH勝出，贏出1/2。GLORIOUS SPECTRUM獲得亞軍；GOLD CHEST獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COMPUTER PATCH XB 1.08.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 1 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM XB- A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 13 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | GOLD CHEST CP/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 3 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SHINING ACE B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | CALIFORNIA WHIP B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 8 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | TRANSCENDENT TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 14 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 11 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 7 | 194.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | SPEED VISION B/TT H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 6 | 162.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | STYLING CITY B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 62.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | MOMENT OF POWER B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 339.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | YEE CHEONG BABY P1/TT1 M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 2 | 25.0 | 26-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COMPUTER PATCH | 29.3% | 3.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | TRANSCENDENT | 12.7% | 7.86 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | GOLD CHEST | 11.7% | 8.56 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SHINING ACE | 11.1% | 8.98 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | YEE CHEONG BABY | 6.2% | 16.10 | 14 |
| 6 | 11 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM | 6.1% | 16.27 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR | 5.2% | 19.14 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | WATER DIVINER | 4.0% | 25.27 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 3.6% | 28.00 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | SPEED VISION | 3.3% | 29.88 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | CALIFORNIA WHIP | 2.8% | 35.94 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | STYLING CITY | 1.7% | 59.85 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | MOMENT OF POWER | 1.2% | 85.20 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 1.1% | 93.74 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 24
PLACE
4 12
7 13.5
11 35
QUINELLA
4,11 228
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 20.5
4,11 81.5
7,11 95
TIERCE
4,11,7 1,134
TRIO
4,7,11 217
FIRST 4
4,6,7,11 241
QUARTET
4,11,7,6 4,766
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
1/4 40.5
1/11 37.5