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Sha Tin · 2020-04-26

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-26 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COMPUTER PATCH, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Moore, won by 1/2, with GLORIOUS SPECTRUM second and GOLD CHEST third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.60
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 COMPUTER PATCH XB 1.08.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Moore 1 2.4 1/2
2 11 GLORIOUS SPECTRUM XB- A Hamelin · P F Yiu 13 14.0 1/2
3 7 GOLD CHEST CP/TT Z Purton · R Gibson 3 3.5 1-3/4
4 6 SHINING ACE B K Teetan · J Size 4 7.4 2-1/4
5 10 WATER DIVINER B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 12 18.0 2-1/2
6 3 CALIFORNIA WHIP B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 8 36.0 2-3/4
7 12 TRANSCENDENT TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 14 15.0 3-1/4
8 1 COUNTRY STAR C Schofield · J Size 5 18.0 3-1/2
9 13 SPARKLING DRAGON TT V Borges · A T Millard 11 26.0 4
10 5 SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H K H Chan · C W Chang 7 194.0 4-1/4
11 14 SPEED VISION B/TT H T Mo · F C Lor 6 162.0 11-1/2
12 9 STYLING CITY B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 9 62.0 12-1/2
13 8 MOMENT OF POWER B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan 10 339.0 16-3/4
14 2 YEE CHEONG BABY P1/TT1 M F Poon · K H Ting 2 25.0 26-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COMPUTER PATCH2. GLORIOUS SPECTRUM+0.5L3. GOLD CHEST+1.75L4. SHINING ACE+2.25L5. WATER DIVINER+2.5L6. CALIFORNIA WHIP+2.75L7. TRANSCENDENT+3.25L8. COUNTRY STAR+3.5L9. SPARKLING DRAGON+4L10. SAUL'S SPECIAL+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick COMPUTER PATCH (29.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 COMPUTER PATCH 29.3% 3.41 1
2 12 TRANSCENDENT 12.7% 7.86 7
3 7 GOLD CHEST 11.7% 8.56 3
4 6 SHINING ACE 11.1% 8.98 4
5 2 YEE CHEONG BABY 6.2% 16.10 14
6 11 GLORIOUS SPECTRUM 6.1% 16.27 2
7 1 COUNTRY STAR 5.2% 19.14 8
8 10 WATER DIVINER 4.0% 25.27 5
9 13 SPARKLING DRAGON 3.6% 28.00 9
10 14 SPEED VISION 3.3% 29.88 11
11 3 CALIFORNIA WHIP 2.8% 35.94 6
12 9 STYLING CITY 1.7% 59.85 12
13 8 MOMENT OF POWER 1.2% 85.20 13
14 5 SAUL'S SPECIAL 1.1% 93.74 10
COMPUTER PATCH — wonTRANSCENDENTGOLD CHESTSHINING ACEYEE CHEONG BABYGLORIOUS SPECTRUMCOUNTRY STARWATER DIVINERSPARKLING DRAGONSPEED VISIONCALIFORNIA WHIPSTYLING CITYMOMENT OF POWERSAUL'S SPECIAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 24

PLACE

4 12

7 13.5

11 35

QUINELLA

4,11 228

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 20.5

4,11 81.5

7,11 95

TIERCE

4,11,7 1,134

TRIO

4,7,11 217

FIRST 4

4,6,7,11 241

QUARTET

4,11,7,6 4,766

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 14.5

A2

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1/4 40.5

1/11 37.5