Sha Tin · 2020-04-26
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-26 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SOUTHERN LEGEND, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with BEAUTY GENERATION second and WAIKUKU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite BEAUTY GENERATION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.33.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY GENERATION CP/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 4 | 1.6 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | WAIKUKU Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | RATTAN Closed strongly CP N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 6 | 74.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly CP K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | KA YING STAR Led early V/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.6 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | FAT TURTLE B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 70.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | THINKIN' BIG XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 2 | 123.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 7 | SINGAPORE SLING C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY GENERATION | 37.8% | 2.65 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | MORE THAN THIS | 22.4% | 4.46 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | WAIKUKU | 20.0% | 4.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | KA YING STAR | 11.9% | 8.43 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | FAT TURTLE | 3.3% | 29.91 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 2.6% | 39.10 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | RATTAN | 1.5% | 67.42 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | THINKIN' BIG | 0.5% | 193.58 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 107
PLACE
1 10.1
2 15
5 19
QUINELLA
1,5 82
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 17.5
1,5 34.5
2,5 46
TIERCE
5,1,2 1,107
TRIO
1,2,5 98
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 405
QUARTET
5,1,2,4 14,801
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,10/1,2,5 252,831
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 24.5
6TH DOUBLE
10/1 27
10/5 1,200.5