Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-04-26

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A 8 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.33.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes 5 10.0 SH
2 0 BEAUTY GENERATION CP/TT Z Purton · J Moore 4 1.6 SH
3 0 WAIKUKU Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size 8 4.7 2-3/4
4 0 RATTAN Closed strongly CP N Callan · R Gibson 6 74.0 3
5 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly CP K Teetan · K W Lui 7 6.2 3-1/2
6 0 KA YING STAR Led early V/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz 1 9.6 6
7 0 FAT TURTLE B K C Leung · F C Lor 3 70.0 8-1/2
8 0 THINKIN' BIG XB B Shinn · D J Whyte 2 123.0 9-1/4
— 0 SINGAPORE SLING C Schofield · A T Millard — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-26 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SOUTHERN LEGEND, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with BEAUTY GENERATION second and WAIKUKU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite BEAUTY GENERATION finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOUTHERN LEGEND—2. BEAUTY GENERATION+0.1L3. WAIKUKU+2.75L4. RATTAN+3L5. MORE THAN THIS+3.5L6. KA YING STAR+6L7. FAT TURTLE+8.5L8. THINKIN' BIG+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick BEAUTY GENERATION (37.8%) finished 2nd — the winner SOUTHERN LEGEND was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY GENERATION 37.8% 2.65 2
2 0 MORE THAN THIS 22.4% 4.46 5
3 0 WAIKUKU 20.0% 4.99 3
4 0 KA YING STAR 11.9% 8.43 6
5 0 FAT TURTLE 3.3% 29.91 7
6 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND 2.6% 39.10 1
7 0 RATTAN 1.5% 67.42 4
8 0 THINKIN' BIG 0.5% 193.58 8
BEAUTY GENERATIONMORE THAN THISWAIKUKUKA YING STARFAT TURTLESOUTHERN LEGEND — wonRATTANTHINKIN' BIG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 107

PLACE

1 10.1

2 15

5 19

QUINELLA

1,5 82

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 17.5

1,5 34.5

2,5 46

TIERCE

5,1,2 1,107

TRIO

1,2,5 98

FIRST 4

1,2,4,5 405

QUARTET

5,1,2,4 14,801

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,8,10/1,2,5 252,831

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 24.5

6TH DOUBLE

10/1 27

10/5 1,200.5