Sha Tin · 2020-04-26
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly 1.34.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 5 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly B/XB J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 4 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 6 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUCH A HAPPINESS Closed strongly B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 7 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B-/CP1 C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 14 | 92.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | HALL OF CHAMP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 6.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MR ALDAN Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 9 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 5.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 1 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KIRAM M L Yeung · D E Ferraris | M L Yeung | D E Ferraris | 3 | 130.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | COBY BA Led early H/P1 H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 2 | 246.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | DUCKETT'S GROVE P K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 11 | 206.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-26 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LAKESHORE EAGLE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with CHEERFUL LEADER second and EVER LAUGH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite CHEERFUL LEADER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 38.6% | 2.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 10.7% | 9.37 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 9.9% | 10.14 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | HALL OF CHAMP | 5.3% | 18.82 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 5.3% | 19.00 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 5.0% | 20.15 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 4.5% | 22.30 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | SUCH A HAPPINESS | 2.2% | 44.60 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | KIRAM | 2.2% | 44.87 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | VOLPINO | 1.6% | 61.55 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.5% | 65.47 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | DUCKETT'S GROVE | 1.1% | 89.61 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | COBY BA | 0.7% | 147.31 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 92.5
PLACE
2 29.5
11 46
13 13
QUINELLA
2,13 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 187
2,13 48.5
11,13 78
TIERCE
2,13,11 2,514
TRIO
2,11,13 343
FIRST 4
2,11,13,14 792
QUARTET
2,13,11,14 20,977
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,10/2,11,13 37,432
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 49.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
10/2 1,579.5
10/13 114.5