Sha Tin · 2020-04-26
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MR STUNNING CP 1.08.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BIG TIME BABY M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | THANKS FOREVER CP-/B1 B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 11 | 9.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 4 | 52.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | JOLLY BANNER B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 3 | 94.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VOYAGE WARRIOR C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | D B PIN N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 8 | 61.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | FULL OF BEAUTY C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 6 | 85.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BIG PARTY CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | AETHERO Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 5 | 2.0 | 73-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-26 was Group 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MR STUNNING, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with BIG TIME BABY second and THANKS FOREVER third. The 2.0 favourite AETHERO finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AETHERO | 31.1% | 3.21 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN | 29.1% | 3.43 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER | 7.1% | 14.05 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 6.9% | 14.43 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | BIG PARTY | 6.5% | 15.27 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG TIME BABY | 4.1% | 24.57 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | THANKS FOREVER | 3.5% | 28.98 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | FULL OF BEAUTY | 3.4% | 29.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | MR STUNNING | 3.4% | 29.30 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | D B PIN | 2.6% | 38.35 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | JOLLY BANNER | 2.2% | 45.85 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 219
PLACE
2 20
3 36.5
9 55
QUINELLA
3,9 2,471.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 142.5
2,9 177
3,9 490
TIERCE
3,9,2 30,426
TRIO
2,3,9 3,665
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 930
QUARTET
3,9,2,1 38,827
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 64
A1 —
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE
2/3 1,637
2/9 516
WINNING TRAINER
B4 74.5
B3 —
B1 —
B2 —