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Sha Tin · 2020-04-26

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GENERAL'S DELIGHT Closed strongly XB 1.34.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · D J Whyte 10 6.5 SH
2 0 TIME TO CELEBRATE B K Teetan · J Size 9 23.0 SH
3 0 UNCLE STEVE Closed strongly P-/XB/SR1 T H So · D J Whyte 11 121.0 1-1/2
4 0 BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 2 9.3 3
5 0 STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 4 12.0 3-1/4
6 0 BUTTERFIELD XB/TT J Moreira · C S Shum 5 4.5 3-1/2
7 0 HEZTHEWONFORUS SR C Schofield · J Size 6 7.5 3-1/2
8 0 PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu 13 6.1 3-3/4
9 0 GREEN LUCK Closed strongly B-/H- M F Poon · C Fownes 7 43.0 4
10 0 CORDYCEPS Led early B V Borges · K W Lui 12 8.7 5
11 0 NOBLE STEED Closed strongly M L Yeung · K W Lui 8 55.0 5-1/4
12 0 MONICA B/TT M Chadwick · J Moore 1 8.3 6-1/4
13 0 RICKFIELD XB H W Lai · A T Millard 3 195.0 6-1/2
14 0 KING OPIE V A Hamelin · F C Lor 14 40.0 16-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-26 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GENERAL'S DELIGHT, ridden by K H Chan and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with TIME TO CELEBRATE second and UNCLE STEVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite BUTTERFIELD finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GENERAL'S DELIGHT—2. TIME TO CELEBRATE+0.1L3. UNCLE STEVE+1.5L4. BAND OF BROTHERS+3L5. STAR PERFORMANCE+3.25L6. BUTTERFIELD+3.5L7. HEZTHEWONFORUS+3.5L8. PRECIOUSSHIP+3.75L9. GREEN LUCK+4L10. CORDYCEPS+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick BUTTERFIELD (28.3%) finished 6th — the winner GENERAL'S DELIGHT was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BUTTERFIELD 28.3% 3.54 6
2 0 PRECIOUSSHIP 17.1% 5.85 8
3 0 BAND OF BROTHERS 14.3% 6.99 4
4 0 MONICA 8.7% 11.45 12
5 0 HEZTHEWONFORUS 7.6% 13.22 7
6 0 GENERAL'S DELIGHT 4.9% 20.41 1
7 0 STAR PERFORMANCE 3.6% 27.64 5
8 0 CORDYCEPS 3.4% 29.59 10
9 0 KING OPIE 3.4% 29.64 14
10 0 TIME TO CELEBRATE 2.9% 34.37 2
11 0 NOBLE STEED 2.2% 45.68 11
12 0 GREEN LUCK 1.7% 59.14 9
13 0 UNCLE STEVE 1.0% 95.94 3
14 0 RICKFIELD 0.9% 109.77 13
BUTTERFIELDPRECIOUSSHIPBAND OF BROTHERSMONICAHEZTHEWONFORUSGENERAL'S DELIGHT — wonSTAR PERFORMANCECORDYCEPSKING OPIETIME TO CELEBRATENOBLE STEEDGREEN LUCKUNCLE STEVERICKFIELD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 65.5

PLACE

2 55

8 306

12 24.5

QUINELLA

2,12 931.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 1,483

2,12 274.5

8,12 1,265

TIERCE

12,2,8 67,750

TRIO

2,8,12 17,452

FIRST 4

2,6,8,12 34,048

QUARTET

12,2,8,6 615,911

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 22

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,11/2,8,12 718,998

9TH DOUBLE

4/2 110.5

4/12 269

SIX UP

3,9/8,10/1,5/1,3/4,11/2,12 29,960

3/10/5/1/4/12 1,295,962

3 [K Teetan] —

TREBLE

1/4/2 196

1/4/12 308