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Sha Tin · 2020-04-26

Race 2

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.18
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RELENTLESS ME B/XB 1.09.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · D J Whyte 10 21.0 N
2 0 WAR ROOM XB1 Z Purton · D J Hall 9 4.4 N
3 0 WAR OF COURAGE C Schofield · K L Man 11 3.5 1-1/2
4 0 BIZ POWER B T H So · P O'Sullivan 14 120.0 1-3/4
5 0 ELIGERE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui 5 9.7 2
6 0 STANLEY PARK H H T Mo · L Ho 13 461.0 2-1/4
7 0 AWE CP-/XB-/B1/TT1 M Chadwick · J Moore 8 29.0 4-3/4
8 0 KA YING LEGEND TT V Borges · T P Yung 6 5.4 4-3/4
9 0 CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 2 4.9 5-1/4
10 0 DRAGON HAS LANDED CP/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum 7 38.0 6
11 0 TOM'S STYLE TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 43.0 6-1/2
12 0 PERFECT TO GREAT N Callan · C Fownes 12 214.0 7
13 0 BRIGHT VISION K C Leung · P F Yiu 4 16.0 7
14 0 SUPER QILIN XB1/TT1 B Shinn · W Y So 3 178.0 8-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RELENTLESS ME, ridden by K H Chan and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with WAR ROOM second and WAR OF COURAGE third. The 3.5 favourite WAR OF COURAGE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RELENTLESS ME—2. WAR ROOM+0.05L3. WAR OF COURAGE+1.5L4. BIZ POWER+1.75L5. ELIGERE+2L6. STANLEY PARK+2.25L7. AWE+4.75L8. KA YING LEGEND+4.75L9. CALIFORNIA TURBO+5.25L10. DRAGON HAS LANDED+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick WAR OF COURAGE (39.9%) finished 3rd — the winner RELENTLESS ME was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 WAR OF COURAGE 39.9% 2.50 3
2 0 CALIFORNIA TURBO 18.4% 5.45 9
3 0 KA YING LEGEND 10.8% 9.26 8
4 0 WAR ROOM 8.8% 11.35 2
5 0 TOM'S STYLE 4.3% 23.38 11
6 0 ELIGERE 3.3% 30.02 5
7 0 PERFECT TO GREAT 3.1% 32.32 12
8 0 RELENTLESS ME 2.8% 35.71 1
9 0 DRAGON HAS LANDED 2.7% 37.69 10
10 0 AWE 1.8% 54.82 7
11 0 BRIGHT VISION 1.7% 59.22 13
12 0 SUPER QILIN 1.1% 87.17 14
13 0 BIZ POWER 0.8% 128.95 4
14 0 STANLEY PARK 0.5% 197.63 6
WAR OF COURAGECALIFORNIA TURBOKA YING LEGENDWAR ROOMTOM'S STYLEELIGEREPERFECT TO GREATRELENTLESS ME — wonDRAGON HAS LANDEDAWEBRIGHT VISIONSUPER QILINBIZ POWERSTANLEY PARK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 212

PLACE

2 17.5

6 15.5

13 44.5

QUINELLA

2,13 289

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 35

2,13 95

6,13 83.5

TIERCE

13,2,6 3,101

TRIO

2,6,13 283

FIRST 4

2,6,10,13 6,396

QUARTET

13,2,6,10 168,178

1ST DOUBLE

1/2 40

1/13 1,060

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 47

A2 —

A1 —