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Sha Tin · 2020-04-26

Race 2

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RELENTLESS ME, ridden by K H Chan and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with WAR ROOM second and WAR OF COURAGE third. The 3.5 favourite WAR OF COURAGE finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.18
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 RELENTLESS ME B/XB 1.09.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · D J Whyte 10 21.0 N
2 2 WAR ROOM XB1 Z Purton · D J Hall 9 4.4 N
3 6 WAR OF COURAGE C Schofield · K L Man 11 3.5 1-1/2
4 10 BIZ POWER B T H So · P O'Sullivan 14 120.0 1-3/4
5 12 ELIGERE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui 5 9.7 2
6 3 STANLEY PARK H H T Mo · L Ho 13 461.0 2-1/4
7 4 AWE CP-/XB-/B1/TT1 M Chadwick · J Moore 8 29.0 4-3/4
8 1 KA YING LEGEND TT V Borges · T P Yung 6 5.4 4-3/4
9 11 CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 2 4.9 5-1/4
10 14 DRAGON HAS LANDED CP/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum 7 38.0 6
11 8 TOM'S STYLE TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 43.0 6-1/2
12 5 PERFECT TO GREAT N Callan · C Fownes 12 214.0 7
13 9 BRIGHT VISION K C Leung · P F Yiu 4 16.0 7
14 7 SUPER QILIN XB1/TT1 B Shinn · W Y So 3 178.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RELENTLESS ME2. WAR ROOM+0.05L3. WAR OF COURAGE+1.5L4. BIZ POWER+1.75L5. ELIGERE+2L6. STANLEY PARK+2.25L7. AWE+4.75L8. KA YING LEGEND+4.75L9. CALIFORNIA TURBO+5.25L10. DRAGON HAS LANDED+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick WAR OF COURAGE (39.9%) finished 3rd — the winner RELENTLESS ME was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 WAR OF COURAGE 39.9% 2.50 3
2 11 CALIFORNIA TURBO 18.4% 5.45 9
3 1 KA YING LEGEND 10.8% 9.26 8
4 2 WAR ROOM 8.8% 11.35 2
5 8 TOM'S STYLE 4.3% 23.38 11
6 12 ELIGERE 3.3% 30.02 5
7 5 PERFECT TO GREAT 3.1% 32.32 12
8 13 RELENTLESS ME 2.8% 35.71 1
9 14 DRAGON HAS LANDED 2.7% 37.69 10
10 4 AWE 1.8% 54.82 7
11 9 BRIGHT VISION 1.7% 59.22 13
12 7 SUPER QILIN 1.1% 87.17 14
13 10 BIZ POWER 0.8% 128.95 4
14 3 STANLEY PARK 0.5% 197.63 6
WAR OF COURAGECALIFORNIA TURBOKA YING LEGENDWAR ROOMTOM'S STYLEELIGEREPERFECT TO GREATRELENTLESS ME — wonDRAGON HAS LANDEDAWEBRIGHT VISIONSUPER QILINBIZ POWERSTANLEY PARK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 212

PLACE

2 17.5

6 15.5

13 44.5

QUINELLA

2,13 289

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 35

2,13 95

6,13 83.5

TIERCE

13,2,6 3,101

TRIO

2,6,13 283

FIRST 4

2,6,10,13 6,396

QUARTET

13,2,6,10 168,178

1ST DOUBLE

1/2 40

1/13 1,060

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A1

A3 47