沙田 · 2020-04-26
第 10場
2020-04-26沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的GENERAL'S DELIGHT勝出，贏出SH。TIME TO CELEBRATE獲得亞軍；UNCLE STEVE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門BUTTERFIELD跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT 後段發力 XB 1.34.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 10 | 6.5 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | TIME TO CELEBRATE B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 23.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | UNCLE STEVE 後段發力 P-/XB/SR1 T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 11 | 121.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | BAND OF BROTHERS 後段發力 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 9.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | STAR PERFORMANCE 後段發力 TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BUTTERFIELD XB/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 5 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | HEZTHEWONFORUS SR C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 6 | 7.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | PRECIOUSSHIP 後段發力 XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GREEN LUCK 後段發力 B-/H- M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 7 | 43.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | CORDYCEPS 早段領放 B V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 12 | 8.7 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | NOBLE STEED 後段發力 M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 8 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | MONICA B/TT M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 1 | 8.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | RICKFIELD XB H W Lai · A T Millard | H W Lai | A T Millard | 3 | 195.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | KING OPIE V A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 14 | 40.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BUTTERFIELD | 28.3% | 3.54 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 17.1% | 5.85 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 14.3% | 6.99 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | MONICA | 8.7% | 11.45 | 12 |
| 5 | 4 | HEZTHEWONFORUS | 7.6% | 13.22 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT | 4.9% | 20.41 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 3.6% | 27.64 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | CORDYCEPS | 3.4% | 29.59 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | KING OPIE | 3.4% | 29.64 | 14 |
| 10 | 2 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 2.9% | 34.37 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | NOBLE STEED | 2.2% | 45.68 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | GREEN LUCK | 1.7% | 59.14 | 9 |
| 13 | 8 | UNCLE STEVE | 1.0% | 95.94 | 3 |
| 14 | 14 | RICKFIELD | 0.9% | 109.77 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 65.5
PLACE
2 55
8 306
12 24.5
QUINELLA
2,12 931.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 1,483
2,12 274.5
8,12 1,265
TIERCE
12,2,8 67,750
TRIO
2,8,12 17,452
FIRST 4
2,6,8,12 34,048
QUARTET
12,2,8,6 615,911
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 22
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,11/2,8,12 718,998
9TH DOUBLE
4/2 110.5
4/12 269
SIX UP
3,9/8,10/1,5/1,3/4,11/2,12 29,960
3/10/5/1/4/12 1,295,962
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
1/4/2 196
1/4/12 308