沙田 · 2020-04-26
第 1場
2020-04-26沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的CHAIRMAN LO勝出，贏出1/2。SUPER WINNER獲得亞軍；SPRINT FORWARD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHAIRMAN LO 後段發力 B 1.21.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | SUPER WINNER 早段領放 H-/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/XB/TT B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 5 | 5.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | WINSTON'S LAD 後段發力 B A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 9 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 12 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | CHARGE ON 後段發力 B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 14 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | BREEZE OF SPRING 後段發力 CP V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 10 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | TELECOM ROCKET CP M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | MY WINNER 後段發力 B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 4 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | WELL DRAGON TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 1 | 352.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | YICHUN BLITZ B/XB C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 6 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SWEETLY BABY 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 68.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | HOME WIN B2 K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 7 | 136.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | LUCKY WORLD TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 11 | 278.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TELECOM ROCKET | 20.0% | 4.99 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | CHAIRMAN LO | 14.0% | 7.16 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SPRINT FORWARD | 10.3% | 9.70 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | SUPER WINNER | 9.5% | 10.47 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | YICHUN BLITZ | 8.9% | 11.29 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | WINSTON'S LAD | 7.7% | 12.92 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | CHARGE ON | 6.7% | 15.02 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | CITY LEGEND | 6.2% | 16.17 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | MY WINNER | 5.5% | 18.17 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 5.4% | 18.61 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | SWEETLY BABY | 3.8% | 26.66 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | LUCKY WORLD | 0.8% | 127.63 | 14 |
| 13 | 9 | HOME WIN | 0.8% | 129.32 | 13 |
| 14 | 2 | WELL DRAGON | 0.5% | 193.85 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 47.5
PLACE
1 18
4 19
14 35.5
QUINELLA
1,14 330
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 56
1,14 117
4,14 132.5
TIERCE
1,14,4 2,744
TRIO
1,4,14 551
FIRST 4
1,4,12,14 1,039
QUARTET
1,14,4,12 27,430
3 PICK 1
A1 26
A2 —
A3 —