跑馬地 · 2020-04-29
第 5場
2020-04-29跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的SKY SHOW勝出，贏出2。SMART OF YOUTH獲得亞軍；TRAVEL DATUK獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門WOOD ON FIRE跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SKY SHOW 1.09.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 10 | 4.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | SMART OF YOUTH CP1/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 2 | 9.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | TRAVEL DATUK B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 6 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | VICTORY MASTERY PC J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | AMAZING TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 11 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | DIAMOND RHYME V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 1 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | LADY FIRST H/XB/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | THE SHOW B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 4 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | HERO STAR C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 7 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | WINNER'S HEART V- C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | WOOD ON FIRE H-/B M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 3 | 4.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | THE ONE B/TT2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 59.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VICTORY MASTERY | 27.8% | 3.60 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | WOOD ON FIRE | 14.2% | 7.07 | 11 |
| 3 | 5 | SKY SHOW | 13.2% | 7.56 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | WINNER'S HEART | 9.5% | 10.51 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | TRAVEL DATUK | 7.4% | 13.48 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | LADY FIRST | 5.9% | 16.97 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | THE SHOW | 5.8% | 17.10 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING | 4.2% | 23.74 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | HERO STAR | 4.0% | 25.05 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | THE ONE | 3.6% | 27.53 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | SMART OF YOUTH | 2.9% | 34.06 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | DIAMOND RHYME | 1.4% | 70.51 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 49
PLACE
5 23.5
8 33.5
11 25
QUINELLA
5,11 301
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 157.5
5,11 106.5
8,11 196.5
TIERCE
5,11,8 6,530
TRIO
5,8,11 1,394
FIRST 4
5,8,9,11 1,847
QUARTET
5,11,8,9 32,606
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/5,8,11 1,237,632
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22.5
4TH DOUBLE
7/5 176
7/11 176.5