跑馬地 · 2020-04-29
第 9場
2020-04-29跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H T Mo策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的GOOD FOR YOU勝出，贏出2-1/4。BEAUTY SPARK獲得亞軍；LITTLE BIRD獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GOOD FOR YOU B 1.09.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 4 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | LITTLE BIRD V/TT- A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 2.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | JUMBO HAPPINESS B N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 3 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 9.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | FANTASTIC FEELING B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 10 | 90.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SHOUSON B Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 6 | 5.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | VICTORY POWER B/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 8 | 41.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | SUPER COMMANDER XB1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 24.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | URBAN DANCER TT1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 112.0 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 34.5% | 2.90 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY SPARK | 21.5% | 4.65 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | SHOUSON | 12.5% | 7.99 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | VICTORY POWER | 7.4% | 13.47 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | WHAT A LEGEND | 6.5% | 15.44 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | LITTLE BIRD | 4.6% | 21.67 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | JUMBO HAPPINESS | 3.1% | 31.92 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER COMMANDER | 3.1% | 32.25 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | GOOD FOR YOU | 2.3% | 43.35 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN | 2.1% | 46.90 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | FANTASTIC FEELING | 1.5% | 68.24 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | URBAN DANCER | 0.9% | 113.66 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 162
PLACE
4 50.5
7 18
12 35.5
QUINELLA
7,12 510.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 200
4,12 528.5
7,12 130
TIERCE
12,7,4 26,613
TRIO
4,7,12 3,006
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 1,815
QUARTET
12,7,4,1 83,417
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 31
A1 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/4,7,12 116,756
8TH DOUBLE
9/7 82
9/12 1,686
SIX UP
5,7/5,11/7,9/1,12/1,9/7,12 10,370
7/5/9/1/9/12 11,728,303
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/9/7 248
1/9/12 4,744