跑馬地 · 2020-04-29
第 7場
2020-04-29跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SHINING GEM勝出，贏出1-1/4。NORDIC WARRIOR獲得亞軍；DIAMOND BRILLIANT獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門DIAMOND BRILLIANT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SHINING GEM CP 1.09.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR B M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 11 | 43.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT CP/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 3 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | VICTORIAM A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 12 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL B- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY AMIGO B K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 10 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER DOBBIN K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | SEVENTH SEA SR H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 7 | 140.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | YOUNG LEGEND H/TT C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | WIND N GRASS TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 9.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | LE TERROIR CP M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 36.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 40.2% | 2.49 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | VICTORIAM | 11.7% | 8.52 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 10.8% | 9.27 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | WIND N GRASS | 10.4% | 9.64 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | SHINING GEM | 7.7% | 12.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | YOUNG LEGEND | 5.6% | 17.76 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL | 4.8% | 20.73 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER DOBBIN | 3.0% | 33.61 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | SEVENTH SEA | 1.7% | 59.50 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 1.6% | 62.66 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | LE TERROIR | 1.3% | 79.38 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | BIG FORTUNE | 1.2% | 82.61 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 30
PLACE
1 14
9 11.5
12 81.5
QUINELLA
1,12 746
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 23
1,12 183
9,12 160
TIERCE
1,12,9 4,021
TRIO
1,9,12 484
FIRST 4
1,9,10,12 1,379
QUARTET
1,12,9,10 34,652
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,9/1,9,12 53,273
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/1 1,987.5
9/12 2,241.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,8,11/6,7,9/Any Combination 37,656