跑馬地 · 2020-04-29
第 2場
2020-04-29跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的VICTORIOUS SEEKER勝出，贏出2。CURLING LUXURY獲得亞軍；VIRTUS STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER 後段發力 B 1.49.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | CURLING LUXURY C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 7.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | VIRTUS STAR 後段發力 SR/CP1/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS 後段發力 B2 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 3 | 8.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDEN GENERAL CP C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | AEROFLASH 後段發力 CP-/B2 C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | FORTUNE PATROL 後段發力 B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 7 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | MERIDIAN TALENT P1 H W Lai · R Gibson | H W Lai | R Gibson | 11 | 331.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN KID 後段發力 B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 12 | 43.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | BRING IT ON 早段領放 B1/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DR LUCKY STAR B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 149.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 31.8% | 3.15 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | VIRTUS STAR | 27.3% | 3.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | FORTUNE PATROL | 8.8% | 11.32 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | AEROFLASH | 7.7% | 12.96 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | WINNERS BROTHER | 5.1% | 19.78 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | BRING IT ON | 4.9% | 20.39 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 4.8% | 20.74 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | CURLING LUXURY | 3.6% | 27.42 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | GOLDEN KID | 2.3% | 43.77 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 2.1% | 48.49 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | DR LUCKY STAR | 1.0% | 103.05 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 0.6% | 154.00 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 26.5
PLACE
2 12.5
4 21
12 17.5
QUINELLA
2,4 88
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 37
2,12 30
4,12 50
TIERCE
2,4,12 647
TRIO
2,4,12 152
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 197
QUARTET
2,4,12,3 3,517
1ST DOUBLE
4/2 209
4/4 109.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17
A2 —