Happy Valley · 2020-04-29
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B 1.49.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 7.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly SR/CP1/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B2 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 3 | 8.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL CP C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | AEROFLASH Closed strongly CP-/B2 C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 7 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT P1 H W Lai · R Gibson | H W Lai | R Gibson | 11 | 331.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN KID Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 12 | 43.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | BRING IT ON Led early B1/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DR LUCKY STAR B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 149.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-29 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VICTORIOUS SEEKER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 2, with CURLING LUXURY second and VIRTUS STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 31.8% | 3.15 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 27.3% | 3.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 8.8% | 11.32 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | AEROFLASH | 7.7% | 12.96 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER | 5.1% | 19.78 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | BRING IT ON | 4.9% | 20.39 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 4.8% | 20.74 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY | 3.6% | 27.42 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN KID | 2.3% | 43.77 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 2.1% | 48.49 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | DR LUCKY STAR | 1.0% | 103.05 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 0.6% | 154.00 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26.5
PLACE
2 12.5
4 21
12 17.5
QUINELLA
2,4 88
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 37
2,12 30
4,12 50
TIERCE
2,4,12 647
TRIO
2,4,12 152
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 197
QUARTET
2,4,12,3 3,517
1ST DOUBLE
4/2 209
4/4 109.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17