Happy Valley · 2020-04-29
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT Closed strongly B 1.39.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 7.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BRAVE KING Closed strongly C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 6 | 53.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 3 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FARSHAD Led early CP M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 2 | 4.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | RED ELYSEES B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 4 | 7.9 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 21.0 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND Closed strongly H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 50.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 0 | PACKING JOY T H So · R Gibson | T H So | R Gibson | 9 | 300.0 | 68-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-29 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ACCLAIMED LIGHT, ridden by N Callan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with CINQUANTE CINQ second and HEAVENLY THOUGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite CINQUANTE CINQ finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 37.2% | 2.69 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 12.6% | 7.96 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 12.0% | 8.36 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SURREALISM | 9.5% | 10.57 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | FARSHAD | 8.0% | 12.47 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 8.0% | 12.50 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT | 4.4% | 22.75 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 4.0% | 25.02 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 1.8% | 54.40 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 1.0% | 96.82 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 1.0% | 98.72 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | PACKING JOY | 0.5% | 205.69 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 79
PLACE
1 13
5 30
9 22.5
QUINELLA
1,9 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 56.5
1,9 51
5,9 134.5
TIERCE
9,1,5 2,177
TRIO
1,5,9 326
FIRST 4
1,5,8,9 2,897
QUARTET
9,1,5,8 67,644
3 PICK 1
A2 29.5
A1 —
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 13
1/9 202.5