Happy Valley · 2020-04-29
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-29 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DELIGHTFUL LAOS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with GREEN REIGN second and FLASH FAMOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite FLASH FAMOUS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly TT1 1.40.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 5 | 60.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | GREEN REIGN B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 4.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 6 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | TOP SCORE Led early B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 12 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | WIND GLIDER B/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | DYNAMIC EAGLE B/H/XB/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 4 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 10 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | XIANG BAI QI B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | REYNOLDS SR/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 7 | 128.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | HERCULES Closed strongly XB T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 11 | 78.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | GRACEANDMERCY H-/XB/TT1 V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 8 | 42.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FLASH FAMOUS | 31.8% | 3.14 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 13.6% | 7.35 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | JOLLY HONOUR | 13.0% | 7.71 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | GREEN REIGN | 10.8% | 9.28 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | XIANG BAI QI | 9.4% | 10.63 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | SMART PATCH | 5.4% | 18.68 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | WIND GLIDER | 4.9% | 20.49 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | TOP SCORE | 4.5% | 22.30 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | HERCULES | 2.0% | 49.67 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | REYNOLDS | 1.9% | 53.86 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 1.7% | 60.39 | 1 |
| 12 | 1 | GRACEANDMERCY | 1.2% | 85.70 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 603.5
PLACE
6 13
7 14
9 144
QUINELLA
7,9 1,197
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 32
6,9 228
7,9 362.5
TIERCE
9,7,6 9,139
TRIO
6,7,9 976
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 1,545
QUARTET
9,7,6,2 63,986
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 32
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/7 35.5
5/9 2,326.5