Happy Valley · 2020-04-29
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALA NIGHT Closed strongly CP 2.16.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 2 | 5.5 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 13.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO Led early B B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly B-/V1/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER MONTE B-/CP2 K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 10 | 63.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER B- N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 12 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GIANT TURTLE SR/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 7 | 6.3 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 8 | 51.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | VICTORY VISION B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 11 | 265.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-29 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. GALA NIGHT, ridden by K C Leung and trained by J Moore, won by HD, with BULLISH GLORY second and SALTO OLIMPICO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite GOOD DAYS finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD DAYS | 32.0% | 3.12 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | EXALTATION | 21.1% | 4.74 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | GALA NIGHT | 17.8% | 5.63 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 8.2% | 12.23 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 5.9% | 16.83 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 4.2% | 23.90 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GIANT TURTLE | 3.1% | 31.95 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 2.9% | 33.97 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 1.9% | 53.38 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 1.2% | 80.83 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 1.0% | 103.27 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | VICTORY VISION | 0.7% | 150.29 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 55
PLACE
4 19.5
5 25
9 33
QUINELLA
4,9 253
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 111.5
4,9 80
5,9 201.5
TIERCE
4,9,5 6,302
TRIO
4,5,9 1,126
FIRST 4
4,5,7,9 544
QUARTET
4,9,5,7 15,620
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —