沙田 · 2020-05-03
第 10場
2020-05-03沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由A Hamelin策騎、A T Millard訓練的SILVER FIG勝出，贏出1/2。UTOPIA LIFE獲得亞軍；GOOD FOR YOU獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門UTOPIA LIFE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SILVER FIG B/TT1 1.08.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 7 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | GOOD FOR YOU B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 29.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 8.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | ELITE PATCH H/PC/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 6.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 5 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | JUST NOT LISTENING V J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 10 | 5.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | COBY OPPA PC/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | FLYING SWORD CP/TT1 Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.7 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | GRATWICK TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 49.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | MOST BEAUTIFUL B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 8 | 44.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | HEART CONQUERED XB N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 9 | 31.0 | 21-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FLYING SWORD | 22.4% | 4.45 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE | 15.4% | 6.48 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 11.0% | 9.06 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 8.5% | 11.72 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | HEART CONQUERED | 8.2% | 12.19 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | ZERO HEDGE | 7.1% | 14.08 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | GOOD FOR YOU | 6.2% | 16.03 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | SILVER FIG | 5.3% | 18.87 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | COBY OPPA | 4.7% | 21.22 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | ELITE PATCH | 4.5% | 22.12 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | MOST BEAUTIFUL | 4.4% | 22.76 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | GRATWICK | 2.1% | 47.89 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 193
PLACE
2 16
4 51
8 73.5
QUINELLA
2,4 319
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 122
2,8 170.5
4,8 732.5
TIERCE
4,2,8 14,656
TRIO
2,4,8 2,628
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 5,093
QUARTET
4,2,8,3 129,622
3 PICK 1
A3 37
A2 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
12/2 208.5
12/4 2,914