沙田 · 2020-05-03
第 7場
2020-05-03沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的DECISIVE ACTION勝出，贏出3-3/4。ENJOY LIFE獲得亞軍；MONSTER KAKA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門GALACTIC跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DECISIVE ACTION 後段發力 H- 1.34.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 6.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | ENJOY LIFE 後段發力 T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | MONSTER KAKA 後段發力 B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | LITTLE GENERAL 後段發力 M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 2 | 6.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | BULLETPROOF 後段發力 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | VITAL SPRING 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SNOW AIRJET 早段領放 TT K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 10 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | STARSHIP 後段發力 B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | GALACTIC XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 6 | 2.9 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | KING DRAGON B-/V1 A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 9 | 14.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GLENEALY PALS XB/H1/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 4 | 269.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SO GLORIOUS CP-/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 210.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | NUREMBERG 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 43.0 | 20-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | AFRICAN SKY CP/XB1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 343.0 | 27 |
| — | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALACTIC | 23.9% | 4.19 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | DECISIVE ACTION | 19.1% | 5.25 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | KING DRAGON | 8.8% | 11.31 | 10 |
| 4 | 13 | VITAL SPRING | 8.5% | 11.73 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | MONSTER KAKA | 8.3% | 12.08 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | LITTLE GENERAL | 7.8% | 12.83 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | BULLETPROOF | 6.1% | 16.31 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | SNOW AIRJET | 5.1% | 19.46 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | ENJOY LIFE | 3.8% | 26.43 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | STARSHIP | 3.7% | 26.96 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | NUREMBERG | 2.7% | 36.43 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | SO GLORIOUS | 0.9% | 116.76 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | AFRICAN SKY | 0.8% | 120.73 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | GLENEALY PALS | 0.5% | 215.19 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 60.5
PLACE
1 25.5
7 22
12 28
QUINELLA
7,12 376
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 87
1,12 138
7,12 115
TIERCE
7,12,1 4,489
TRIO
1,7,12 828
FIRST 4
1,7,12,14 1,088
QUARTET
7,12,1,14 24,709
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 25.5
全部彩池（另 3 項）
6TH DOUBLE
11/7 381.5
11/12 182
TRIPLE TRIO
2,8,13/4,6,11/1,7,12 5,226,787
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,13/4,6,11/Any Combination 7,503