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Sha Tin · 2020-05-03

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly H- 1.34.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 7 6.0 3-3/4
2 0 ENJOY LIFE Closed strongly T H So · Y S Tsui 5 10.0 3-3/4
3 0 MONSTER KAKA Closed strongly B Shinn · D J Hall 8 10.0 4-1/4
4 0 LITTLE GENERAL Closed strongly M Chadwick · C S Shum 2 6.4 4-1/2
5 0 BULLETPROOF Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu 14 19.0 4-3/4
6 0 VITAL SPRING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 12.0 5-1/4
7 0 SNOW AIRJET Led early TT K H Chan · P F Yiu 10 11.0 5-3/4
8 0 STARSHIP Closed strongly B N Callan · P O'Sullivan 13 26.0 6-1/2
9 0 GALACTIC XB J Moreira · D J Whyte 6 2.9 9-1/4
10 0 KING DRAGON B-/V1 A Hamelin · K L Man 9 14.0 10-3/4
11 0 GLENEALY PALS XB/H1/TT V Borges · C H Yip 4 269.0 17-1/4
12 0 SO GLORIOUS CP-/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui 1 210.0 17-1/4
13 0 NUREMBERG Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 12 43.0 20-3/4
14 0 AFRICAN SKY CP/XB1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 11 343.0 27
— 0 LEADING FORTUNE C Schofield · J Size — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-03 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DECISIVE ACTION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 3-3/4, with ENJOY LIFE second and MONSTER KAKA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite GALACTIC finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DECISIVE ACTION—2. ENJOY LIFE+3.75L3. MONSTER KAKA+4.25L4. LITTLE GENERAL+4.5L5. BULLETPROOF+4.75L6. VITAL SPRING+5.25L7. SNOW AIRJET+5.75L8. STARSHIP+6.5L9. GALACTIC+9.25L10. KING DRAGON+10.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GALACTIC (23.9%) finished 9th — the winner DECISIVE ACTION was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALACTIC 23.9% 4.19 9
2 0 DECISIVE ACTION 19.1% 5.25 1
3 0 KING DRAGON 8.8% 11.31 10
4 0 VITAL SPRING 8.5% 11.73 6
5 0 MONSTER KAKA 8.3% 12.08 3
6 0 LITTLE GENERAL 7.8% 12.83 4
7 0 BULLETPROOF 6.1% 16.31 5
8 0 SNOW AIRJET 5.1% 19.46 7
9 0 ENJOY LIFE 3.8% 26.43 2
10 0 STARSHIP 3.7% 26.96 8
11 0 NUREMBERG 2.7% 36.43 13
12 0 SO GLORIOUS 0.9% 116.76 12
13 0 AFRICAN SKY 0.8% 120.73 14
14 0 GLENEALY PALS 0.5% 215.19 11
GALACTICDECISIVE ACTION — wonKING DRAGONVITAL SPRINGMONSTER KAKALITTLE GENERALBULLETPROOFSNOW AIRJETENJOY LIFESTARSHIPNUREMBERGSO GLORIOUSAFRICAN SKYGLENEALY PALS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 60.5

PLACE

1 25.5

7 22

12 28

QUINELLA

7,12 376

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 87

1,12 138

7,12 115

TIERCE

7,12,1 4,489

TRIO

1,7,12 828

FIRST 4

1,7,12,14 1,088

QUARTET

7,12,1,14 24,709

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 25.5

A3 —

All pools (3 more)

6TH DOUBLE

11/7 381.5

11/12 182

TRIPLE TRIO

2,8,13/4,6,11/1,7,12 5,226,787

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,8,13/4,6,11/Any Combination 7,503