Sha Tin · 2020-05-03
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-03 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. DEMONS ROCK, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-3/4, with EXPONENTS second and TIGERLAD third. The 4.7 favourite PLEASANT GUY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DEMONS ROCK B 1.09.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | EXPONENTS SR-/V M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | TIGERLAD B/TT1 C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 8 | 35.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | CORRE RAPIDO B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 9 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | PLEASANT GUY V1 J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 11 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | GRAND HARBOUR B/TT K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 5 | 6.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER FUN H-/B1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | VICTORY SONG B- V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 54.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MONEYMORE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 8.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | BLINK OF A SECOND B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 53.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | FAIRY FLOSS B/H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 5.6 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | E GENERATION C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 16.0 | 18-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DEMONS ROCK | 28.4% | 3.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PLEASANT GUY | 13.0% | 7.70 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | SUPER FUN | 12.4% | 8.08 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | MONEYMORE | 10.1% | 9.88 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | EXPONENTS | 8.4% | 11.84 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | FAIRY FLOSS | 7.8% | 12.77 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | GRAND HARBOUR | 5.0% | 20.19 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | E GENERATION | 4.4% | 22.56 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | CORRE RAPIDO | 3.6% | 27.45 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | TIGERLAD | 3.0% | 33.78 | 3 |
| 11 | 10 | VICTORY SONG | 2.1% | 47.16 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | BLINK OF A SECOND | 1.7% | 57.57 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 51.5
PLACE
1 20
11 30.5
12 89.5
QUINELLA
1,11 233
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 79
1,12 321
11,12 427
TIERCE
1,11,12 11,708
TRIO
1,11,12 2,781
FIRST 4
1,9,11,12 8,883
QUARTET
1,11,12,9 155,195
1ST DOUBLE
4/1 254
4/11 74.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 24.5
A3 —
A2 —