Sha Tin · 2020-05-03
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 10 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly V B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 1 | 38.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET Closed strongly CP/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER B2/TT- Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 12 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR B/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Led early B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 14 | 201.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY CP/XB/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 2 | 6.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | JUNEAU PARK Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 4.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | STREET SCREAM M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 4 | 105.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly B/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 7 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | FUN LEGEND Closed strongly M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 13 | 172.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | PURE LEGEND K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 8 | 45.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-03 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY SPIRIT, ridden by N Callan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with HELLO BEAUTY second and ULTIMATE GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite JUNEAU PARK finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUNEAU PARK | 31.0% | 3.22 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 14.0% | 7.15 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 13.7% | 7.29 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 7.9% | 12.68 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HELLO BEAUTY | 6.3% | 15.78 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GUY DRAGON | 5.7% | 17.57 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 5.6% | 17.82 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR | 5.2% | 19.09 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 3.3% | 29.88 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | FUN LEGEND | 2.3% | 43.23 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | EZRA | 1.9% | 53.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 1.3% | 79.26 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | PURE LEGEND | 1.2% | 83.09 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | STREET SCREAM | 0.5% | 184.37 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 65.5
PLACE
3 23
7 26
9 86.5
QUINELLA
3,7 218.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 70.5
3,9 359.5
7,9 337
TIERCE
3,7,9 8,630
TRIO
3,7,9 2,057
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 6,247
QUARTET
3,7,9,6 102,096
10TH DOUBLE
4/3 1,806
4/7 298.5
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 20
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,8/3,7,9 2,759,153
SIX UP
6,11/7,12/1,2/12,13/2,4/3,7 764,228
11/7/2/12/4/3 2,752,286
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
12/4/3 18,770
12/4/7 3,531