Sha Tin · 2020-05-03
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. LITTLE THUNDER, ridden by C Wong and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-1/4, with SKYEY SUPREME second and EXCEL DELIGHT third. The 2.9 favourite EXCEL DELIGHT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LITTLE THUNDER B 1.08.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 5 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 35.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | EXCEL DELIGHT H J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | STRIKING MR C B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | STAR SUPERIOR H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 7 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | GOLDIE FLANKER K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 6 | 8.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SPLENDID TIMING B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 4 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPREME PATROL B M L Yeung · D E Ferraris | M L Yeung | D E Ferraris | 2 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 9 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | M M JOHNNY B C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 11 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | DOLLAR REWARD P2/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 3 | 7.3 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EXCEL DELIGHT | 35.5% | 2.81 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 10.9% | 9.15 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | STRIKING MR C | 8.2% | 12.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | GOLDIE FLANKER | 7.9% | 12.65 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | DOLLAR REWARD | 7.6% | 13.09 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | M M JOHNNY | 5.8% | 17.31 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | LITTLE THUNDER | 5.4% | 18.61 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | SKYEY SUPREME | 5.1% | 19.56 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 4.9% | 20.54 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPREME PATROL | 4.1% | 24.57 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | SPLENDID TIMING | 2.3% | 42.56 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | STAR SUPERIOR | 2.3% | 43.86 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 83
PLACE
4 14
6 84.5
11 23
QUINELLA
6,11 1,591.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 181
4,11 52.5
6,11 426
TIERCE
11,6,4 11,682
TRIO
4,6,11 1,248
FIRST 4
4,6,7,11 2,064
QUARTET
11,6,4,7 73,934
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 21.5
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/6 246
2/11 453