Sha Tin · 2020-05-03
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-03 was Group 3 over 2400m, run on GOOD going. CHEFANO, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by J Moore, won by 2-1/4, with SAVVY NINE second and HELENE CHARISMA third. The winner led throughout. The 2.2 favourite HELENE LEADINGSTAR finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHEFANO Wire to wire CP 2.27.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 4 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 1 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | HELENE CHARISMA Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · J Moore | A Hamelin | J Moore | 5 | 8.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | EAGLE WAY B/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 3 | 5.6 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SAVVY NINE | 34.7% | 2.88 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | EAGLE WAY | 22.5% | 4.44 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 22.4% | 4.47 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | CHEFANO | 12.5% | 8.03 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | HELENE CHARISMA | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 62
PLACE
4 37.5
5 17
QUINELLA
4,5 81
TIERCE
4,5,3 966
TRIO
3,4,5 174
2ND DOUBLE
1/4 520.5
1/5 31.5