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Sha Tin · 2020-05-03

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course B 9 runners

Result

Official · 2.00.37
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT 2.00.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Moore 4 11.0 1/2
2 0 CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · C S Shum 9 16.0 1/2
3 0 ENZEMBLE Closed strongly H/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte 7 8.5 2
4 0 DEFINING MOMENT V J Moreira · C Fownes 3 3.6 4-3/4
5 0 GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 1 4.1 5-1/2
6 0 GOOD OMEN Led early V M Chadwick · D J Whyte 5 9.1 6-1/4
7 0 BEAUTY HAPPY B K C Leung · J Moore 8 34.0 6-3/4
8 0 CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT N Callan · C S Shum 2 55.0 12-3/4
9 0 LONDON HALL B C Y Ho · D J Hall 6 3.7 15

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-03 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CHAMPION SUPREME, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Moore, won by 1/2, with CHARITY GO second and ENZEMBLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite DEFINING MOMENT finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHAMPION SUPREME—2. CHARITY GO+0.5L3. ENZEMBLE+2L4. DEFINING MOMENT+4.75L5. GOD OF DRAGON+5.5L6. GOOD OMEN+6.25L7. BEAUTY HAPPY+6.75L8. CLEMENT LEGEND+12.75L9. LONDON HALL+15L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick DEFINING MOMENT (37.9%) finished 4th — the winner CHAMPION SUPREME was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DEFINING MOMENT 37.9% 2.64 4
2 0 LONDON HALL 14.3% 7.00 9
3 0 ENZEMBLE 13.5% 7.39 3
4 0 GOD OF DRAGON 11.8% 8.45 5
5 0 CHAMPION SUPREME 8.8% 11.42 1
6 0 CHARITY GO 6.1% 16.43 2
7 0 GOOD OMEN 3.6% 27.72 6
8 0 CLEMENT LEGEND 2.1% 48.37 8
9 0 BEAUTY HAPPY 1.9% 51.49 7
DEFINING MOMENTLONDON HALLENZEMBLEGOD OF DRAGONCHAMPION SUPREME — wonCHARITY GOGOOD OMENCLEMENT LEGENDBEAUTY HAPPY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 113.5

PLACE

1 40

2 28

6 23.5

QUINELLA

1,2 620

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 162.5

1,6 133

2,6 125.5

TIERCE

2,1,6 7,980

TRIO

1,2,6 1,408

FIRST 4

1,2,6,8 1,015

QUARTET

2,1,6,8 32,386

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,12/1,2,6 93,428

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 23

7TH DOUBLE

7/1 116.5

7/2 628.5