沙田 · 2020-05-03
第 4場
2020-05-03沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、P F Yiu訓練的FABULOUS EIGHT勝出，贏出1/2。KINDA COOL獲得亞軍；DREAM TEAM獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT 0.55.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 13 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | KINDA COOL Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | DREAM TEAM TT1 C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 9 | 9.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | DUBLIN STAR B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 8 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 12 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | MAGIC SUPREME XB2/TT B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 11 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | FLYING SPIRIT T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 7 | 106.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | HERE COMES TED B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 9.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT P-/B2/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | QIPAO BOSS H1 C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 2 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | MASTER GALAXY H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 93.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | SPLIT OF A SECOND H C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 14 | 30.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | COPARTNER SPIRIT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 4 | 309.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA B1/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 180.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 21.4% | 4.67 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | KINDA COOL | 21.2% | 4.72 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | DUBLIN STAR | 18.8% | 5.31 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | HERE COMES TED | 9.4% | 10.69 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 6.2% | 16.11 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | DREAM TEAM | 4.9% | 20.44 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 4.6% | 21.51 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | QIPAO BOSS | 3.6% | 28.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 2.6% | 39.09 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | FLYING SPIRIT | 2.5% | 40.53 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | MASTER GALAXY | 2.2% | 44.90 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | MAGIC SUPREME | 1.8% | 55.69 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | COPARTNER SPIRIT | 0.9% | 116.26 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 33.5
PLACE
6 14.5
8 15.5
9 28
QUINELLA
6,8 96
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 38
6,9 68
8,9 61.5
TIERCE
6,8,9 1,028
TRIO
6,8,9 247
FIRST 4
5,6,8,9 247
QUARTET
6,8,9,5 3,755
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 18.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
4/6 412
4/8 67