跑馬地 · 2020-05-13
第 3場
2020-05-13跑馬地第3場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C H Yip訓練的VICTORIOUS LEADER勝出，贏出SH。TIGERLAD獲得亞軍；EXPONENTS獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門AURORA STEED跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 1.10.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 16.0 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | TIGERLAD B/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 2 | 8.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | EXPONENTS V Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 8 | 6.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | ROMAN ODYSSEY TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | AURORA STEED B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 10 | 42.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 6 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SPEEDY MISSILE P/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 9 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FLYING NOBLE CP/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | FLYING MONKEY CP1/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 5 | 7.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | DR LUCKY STAR B/XB1 T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 7 | 171.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | SHOW MISSION B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 11 | 18.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AURORA STEED | 24.2% | 4.13 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | EXPONENTS | 16.4% | 6.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | ROMAN ODYSSEY | 12.5% | 7.98 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | TIGERLAD | 9.3% | 10.78 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | SHOW MISSION | 7.0% | 14.26 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 7.0% | 14.32 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | FOX CHEUNGER | 6.7% | 14.98 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | FLYING NOBLE | 6.6% | 15.18 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | FLYING MONKEY | 4.5% | 22.27 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | SPEEDY MISSILE | 2.8% | 36.25 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 1.8% | 54.79 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | DR LUCKY STAR | 1.2% | 80.59 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 164.5
PLACE
1 46
10 21
12 24.5
QUINELLA
1,12 843
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 219.5
1,12 194
10,12 87
TIERCE
1,12,10 12,928
TRIO
1,10,12 1,582
FIRST 4
1,5,10,12 3,514
QUARTET
1,12,10,5 89,803
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 3,011.5
8/12 296
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 24.5