跑馬地 · 2020-05-13
第 1場
2020-05-13跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Wong策騎、A T Millard訓練的YEE CHEONG LUCKY勝出，贏出SH。SUPREME PLUS獲得亞軍；THE ABRAXAS獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門THE ABRAXAS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B 1.10.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 3 | 18.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 4.6 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | THE ABRAXAS B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 10 | 2.4 | SH |
| 4 | 3 | GALAXY RACER B-/V1/TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 9.4 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | HARBOUR ALERT CP2/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 1 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | GREAT SON V/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | JUNZI CP-/B1 N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 9 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | LIGHTNING MISSILE B/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 5 | 33.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | JIMSON THE DRAGON B/XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 9.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BANDY B T H So · R Gibson | T H So | R Gibson | 12 | 193.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ISLAND WINNER CO1/TT C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 6 | 16.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 19.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 24.5% | 4.09 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | THE ABRAXAS | 19.4% | 5.15 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | GALAXY RACER | 12.4% | 8.05 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPREME PLUS | 11.8% | 8.47 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | LIGHTNING MISSILE | 6.4% | 15.64 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | GREAT SON | 6.2% | 16.03 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 3.8% | 25.99 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | HARBOUR ALERT | 3.7% | 27.05 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | ISLAND WINNER | 3.7% | 27.36 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | JUNZI | 3.6% | 28.09 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 3.5% | 28.37 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | BANDY | 1.0% | 103.95 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 189
PLACE
1 13
7 16
11 53
QUINELLA
7,11 353.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 33
1,11 90.5
7,11 72
TIERCE
11,7,1 3,259
TRIO
1,7,11 323
FIRST 4
1,3,7,11 584
QUARTET
11,7,1,3 25,211
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 32.5