跑馬地 · 2020-05-13
第 7場
2020-05-13跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的VICTORIAM勝出，贏出1-3/4。GRADE ONE獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA CONCORD獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VICTORIAM 1.09.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | GRADE ONE B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 9.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD TT1 N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | SPLIT OF A SECOND H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | HALL OF CHAMP M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 6 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | TELECOM PUMA SR1/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 3 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SHAMPORT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | AMAZING KNIGHT E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | HARMONY SPIRIT XB/CP1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SUNNY LAD B/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 5 | 115.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H T H So · K L Man | T H So | K L Man | 11 | 289.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CORRIENTHES SR M L Yeung · D E Ferraris | M L Yeung | D E Ferraris | 8 | 132.0 | 29 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GRADE ONE | 15.7% | 6.39 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | HALL OF CHAMP | 15.1% | 6.61 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | VICTORIAM | 14.0% | 7.14 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | TELECOM PUMA | 11.1% | 9.02 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 9.7% | 10.26 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 9.5% | 10.47 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | SHAMPORT | 9.5% | 10.50 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 6.4% | 15.52 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 5.4% | 18.55 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | CORRIENTHES | 1.4% | 73.34 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | SUNNY LAD | 1.1% | 89.56 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 1.0% | 98.90 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 28
PLACE
1 13
4 30
7 26.5
QUINELLA
1,7 109
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 57.5
1,7 47
4,7 119.5
TIERCE
1,7,4 1,290
TRIO
1,4,7 352
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 707
QUARTET
1,7,4,12 10,239
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/1,4,7 36,396
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 109
3/7 50.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,6,9/3,4,10/1,4,7 1,569,749
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,6,9/3,4,10/Any Combination 12,101