沙田 · 2020-05-24
第 10場
2020-05-24沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A T Millard訓練的AMAZING CHOCOLATE勝出，贏出5-1/4。FLYING VICTORY獲得亞軍；STREET SCREAM獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門BEAUTY SMILE跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE 後段發力 B 1.21.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 6.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | FLYING VICTORY 後段發力 H/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 8 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | STREET SCREAM 後段發力 T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 13 | 321.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | MERRYGOWIN B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 87.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | GLORIOUS LOVER 後段發力 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | HELLO BEAUTY 早段領放 B/TT C L Chau · J Moore | C L Chau | J Moore | 12 | 4.7 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | ULTIMATE GLORY V B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 7 | 27.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | PRIME MINISTER C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY ALUMNI H/XB/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 4 | 4.9 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | BEAUTY SMILE TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.6 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | LUMEN BABA SR/XB H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 10 | 411.0 | 17-1/2 |
| — | 2 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 10.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY SMILE | 30.2% | 3.31 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | HAPPY ALUMNI | 15.8% | 6.32 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | HELLO BEAUTY | 13.4% | 7.48 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 10.4% | 9.65 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | FLYING VICTORY | 7.3% | 13.67 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 6.4% | 15.51 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | PRIME MINISTER | 5.9% | 17.05 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 3.1% | 31.88 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 2.9% | 34.93 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | MERRYGOWIN | 2.6% | 38.41 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | LUMEN BABA | 1.3% | 78.59 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | STREET SCREAM | 0.7% | 137.36 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 68.5
PLACE
9 80.5
12 25
13 441
QUINELLA
9,12 1,749.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,12 425.5
9,13 6,085.5
12,13 2,486
TIERCE
12,9,13 153,204
TRIO
9,12,13 62,312
FIRST 4
1,9,12,13 104,631
QUARTET
12,9,13,1 1,987,994
3 PICK 1
A2 22
A3 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
10/9 391
10/12 938.5