沙田 · 2020-05-24
第 7場
2020-05-24沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、A T Millard訓練的YEE CHEONG PEGASUS勝出，贏出3/4。HERO STAR獲得亞軍；LADY FIRST獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS XB/TT 1.09.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | HERO STAR N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 13 | 53.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | LADY FIRST H/XB/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | TRUE LEGEND CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 7.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | KA FORTUNE V/XB H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 111.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | SELL MY SOLE J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 3.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | VITAL SPRING TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 14 | 110.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | XPONENTIAL B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | SPARKLING STAR TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 6 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR B1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 47.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | HAPPILY FRIENDS M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 7 | 59.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | GARLIC HERO TT1 B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 8 | 229.0 | 10 |
| — | 7 | FAST PACE Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SELL MY SOLE | 19.3% | 5.17 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | XPONENTIAL | 17.0% | 5.88 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS | 14.5% | 6.92 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | TRUE LEGEND | 13.2% | 7.57 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 8.1% | 12.39 | 12 |
| 6 | 10 | SPARKLING STAR | 6.1% | 16.45 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 5.3% | 18.73 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | LADY FIRST | 5.1% | 19.67 | 3 |
| 9 | 13 | KA FORTUNE | 3.5% | 28.42 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | VITAL SPRING | 2.9% | 34.45 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | HERO STAR | 2.1% | 46.77 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 1.5% | 65.76 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | GARLIC HERO | 1.3% | 75.88 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 29
PLACE
4 47
5 13
11 93
QUINELLA
5,11 660
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 95.5
4,11 1,037
5,11 181.5
TIERCE
5,11,4 12,690
TRIO
4,5,11 3,116
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 4,061
QUARTET
5,11,4,2 74,909
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 2 項）
6TH DOUBLE
8/5,7 132
8/11 695.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,10/6,8,9/Any Combination 3,561