沙田 · 2020-05-24
第 3場
2020-05-24沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的ENJOY LIFE勝出，贏出1-1/2。FULL POWER獲得亞軍；REGENCY MASTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ENJOY LIFE 後段發力 1.34.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | FULL POWER B/XB Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 8 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 128.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | BULLETPROOF 後段發力 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 14 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B-/CP1/H1 K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 1 | 7.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | STARSHIP 後段發力 B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | MISSION SMART H K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 9.2 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | JOLLY FOREVER 後段發力 TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 92.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | SUNNY POWER 後段發力 C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | 5 | 49.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | MONSTER KAKA C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 11 | 7.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B/TT M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 13 | 136.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | ROMAN IMPERO B- T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 10 | 74.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | EVER STRONG P H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 326.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND 早段領放 TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ENJOY LIFE | 27.5% | 3.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | CITY LEGEND | 14.4% | 6.96 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | FULL POWER | 12.8% | 7.79 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | MISSION SMART | 10.0% | 10.03 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | MONSTER KAKA | 7.4% | 13.56 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | BULLETPROOF | 5.3% | 18.84 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUNNY POWER | 5.3% | 18.93 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | JOLLY FOREVER | 3.4% | 29.11 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | STARSHIP | 3.3% | 29.85 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 3.2% | 31.06 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER | 2.9% | 34.43 | 3 |
| 12 | 5 | ROMAN IMPERO | 2.6% | 38.77 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 1.1% | 91.01 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | EVER STRONG | 0.8% | 127.20 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 30.5
PLACE
4 17.5
10 14.5
12 232.5
QUINELLA
4,10 89.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 38.5
4,12 658.5
10,12 409.5
TIERCE
10,4,12 7,400
TRIO
4,10,12 1,858
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 4,010
QUARTET
10,4,12,8 63,156
2ND DOUBLE
3/4 65.5
3/10 243
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21.5