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Sha Tin · 2020-05-24

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.60
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ENJOY LIFE Closed strongly 1.34.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui 3 3.0 1-1/2
2 0 FULL POWER B/XB Z Purton · R Gibson 8 4.8 1-1/2
3 0 REGENCY MASTER TT M F Poon · C S Shum 4 128.0 3-1/2
4 0 BULLETPROOF Closed strongly A Hamelin · P F Yiu 14 10.0 4-1/4
5 0 CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B-/CP1/H1 K Teetan · T P Yung 1 7.3 4-1/2
6 0 STARSHIP Closed strongly B N Callan · P O'Sullivan 12 22.0 4-1/2
7 0 MISSION SMART H K C Leung · F C Lor 2 9.2 6
8 0 JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes 7 92.0 6-1/2
9 0 SUNNY POWER Closed strongly C Schofield · K W Lui 5 49.0 7-1/2
10 0 MONSTER KAKA C L Chau · D J Hall 11 7.0 7-1/2
11 0 LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B/TT M L Yeung · J Moore 13 136.0 9-3/4
12 0 ROMAN IMPERO B- T H So · C H Yip 10 74.0 10-1/2
13 0 EVER STRONG P H W Lai · K L Man 9 326.0 11-1/4
14 0 CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 6 10.0 13-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-24 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ENJOY LIFE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/2, with FULL POWER second and REGENCY MASTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ENJOY LIFE—2. FULL POWER+1.5L3. REGENCY MASTER+3.5L4. BULLETPROOF+4.25L5. CITY LEGEND+4.5L6. STARSHIP+4.5L7. MISSION SMART+6L8. JOLLY FOREVER+6.5L9. SUNNY POWER+7.5L10. MONSTER KAKA+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick ENJOY LIFE (27.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ENJOY LIFE 27.5% 3.64 1
2 0 CITY LEGEND 14.4% 6.96 5
3 0 FULL POWER 12.8% 7.79 2
4 0 MISSION SMART 10.0% 10.03 7
5 0 MONSTER KAKA 7.4% 13.56 10
6 0 BULLETPROOF 5.3% 18.84 4
7 0 SUNNY POWER 5.3% 18.93 9
8 0 JOLLY FOREVER 3.4% 29.11 8
9 0 STARSHIP 3.3% 29.85 6
10 0 CALIFORNIA LEGEND 3.2% 31.06 14
11 0 REGENCY MASTER 2.9% 34.43 3
12 0 ROMAN IMPERO 2.6% 38.77 12
13 0 LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT 1.1% 91.01 11
14 0 EVER STRONG 0.8% 127.20 13
ENJOY LIFE — wonCITY LEGENDFULL POWERMISSION SMARTMONSTER KAKABULLETPROOFSUNNY POWERJOLLY FOREVERSTARSHIPCALIFORNIA LEGENDREGENCY MASTERROMAN IMPEROLAOS ENLIGHTENMENTEVER STRONG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 30.5

PLACE

4 17.5

10 14.5

12 232.5

QUINELLA

4,10 89.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 38.5

4,12 658.5

10,12 409.5

TIERCE

10,4,12 7,400

TRIO

4,10,12 1,858

FIRST 4

4,8,10,12 4,010

QUARTET

10,4,12,8 63,156

2ND DOUBLE

3/4 65.5

3/10 243

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 21.5