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Sha Tin · 2020-05-24

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1800m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.37
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly V 1.47.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 12 7.5 SH
2 0 ENZEMBLE Closed strongly H/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 11 4.3 SH
3 0 SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB C Schofield · A T Millard 7 10.0 SH
4 0 CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · J Moore 8 8.5 N
5 0 CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · C S Shum 10 6.9 1/2
6 0 GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 5 8.9 1/2
7 0 TANGMERE TT Z Purton · C Fownes 2 15.0 1-1/2
8 0 HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 3 8.5 1-1/2
9 0 DYNAMIC EAGLE B/H/XB/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 4 24.0 2-1/4
10 0 WORLD FAMOUS Led early B/XB C Wong · P F Yiu 1 7.2 5
11 0 GENEROUS CHARITY B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 6 110.0 6
12 0 DUCKETT'S GROVE P/E1 N Callan · J Size 9 203.0 22

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-24 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DEFINING MOMENT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with ENZEMBLE second and SACRED IBIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite ENZEMBLE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DEFINING MOMENT—2. ENZEMBLE+0.1L3. SACRED IBIS+0.1L4. CHAMPION SUPREME+0.05L5. CHARITY GO+0.5L6. GOD OF DRAGON+0.5L7. TANGMERE+1.5L8. HAPPY SEBRING+1.5L9. DYNAMIC EAGLE+2.25L10. WORLD FAMOUS+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick TANGMERE (39.7%) finished 7th — the winner DEFINING MOMENT was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 TANGMERE 39.7% 2.52 7
2 0 DEFINING MOMENT 11.7% 8.52 1
3 0 ENZEMBLE 9.6% 10.40 2
4 0 HAPPY SEBRING 8.0% 12.50 8
5 0 WORLD FAMOUS 6.8% 14.73 10
6 0 GOD OF DRAGON 5.6% 17.72 6
7 0 CHARITY GO 4.6% 21.71 5
8 0 CHAMPION SUPREME 4.6% 21.79 4
9 0 DYNAMIC EAGLE 4.4% 22.98 9
10 0 SACRED IBIS 3.4% 29.01 3
11 0 GENEROUS CHARITY 0.8% 126.14 11
12 0 DUCKETT'S GROVE 0.7% 141.16 12
TANGMEREDEFINING MOMENT — wonENZEMBLEHAPPY SEBRINGWORLD FAMOUSGOD OF DRAGONCHARITY GOCHAMPION SUPREMEDYNAMIC EAGLESACRED IBISGENEROUS CHARITYDUCKETT'S GROVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 75

PLACE

7 30

8 17.5

10 24

QUINELLA

8,10 158

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 115.5

7,10 171

8,10 57

TIERCE

10,8,7 4,449

TRIO

7,8,10 826

FIRST 4

2,7,8,10 1,484

QUARTET

10,8,7,2 33,651

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 20.5

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1/8 16

1/10 156