Sha Tin · 2020-05-24
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-24 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DEFINING MOMENT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with ENZEMBLE second and SACRED IBIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite ENZEMBLE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly V 1.47.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 7.5 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | ENZEMBLE Closed strongly H/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 4.3 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 7 | 10.0 | SH |
| 4 | 2 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 8 | 8.5 | N |
| 5 | 4 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 10 | 6.9 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.9 | 1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | TANGMERE TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 2 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | DYNAMIC EAGLE B/H/XB/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early B/XB C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.2 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | GENEROUS CHARITY B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 6 | 110.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | DUCKETT'S GROVE P/E1 N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 9 | 203.0 | 22 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TANGMERE | 39.7% | 2.52 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | DEFINING MOMENT | 11.7% | 8.52 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | ENZEMBLE | 9.6% | 10.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY SEBRING | 8.0% | 12.50 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | WORLD FAMOUS | 6.8% | 14.73 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | GOD OF DRAGON | 5.6% | 17.72 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | CHARITY GO | 4.6% | 21.71 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 4.6% | 21.79 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 4.4% | 22.98 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | SACRED IBIS | 3.4% | 29.01 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | GENEROUS CHARITY | 0.8% | 126.14 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | DUCKETT'S GROVE | 0.7% | 141.16 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 75
PLACE
7 30
8 17.5
10 24
QUINELLA
8,10 158
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 115.5
7,10 171
8,10 57
TIERCE
10,8,7 4,449
TRIO
7,8,10 826
FIRST 4
2,7,8,10 1,484
QUARTET
10,8,7,2 33,651
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 20.5
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/8 16
1/10 156