Sha Tin · 2020-05-24
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ARMOR STAR Wire to wire H- 1.21.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 8.1 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT HASSLER Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 4.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 1 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · J Moore | A Hamelin | J Moore | 6 | 3.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE DESIRE Closed strongly B-/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly CP1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 202.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER Closed strongly SR/CP1 M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 5 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | MOON PEAKS Closed strongly B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 4 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TAILOR MADE B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY PUZZLE B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 10 | 138.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B1 T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 14 | 339.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM MISSILE N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 12 | 174.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | WINS ALL CP K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 9 | 382.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-24 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ARMOR STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with CIRCUIT HASSLER second and SHANGHAI DRAGON third. The winner led throughout. The 3.6 favourite SO WE JOY finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 28.8% | 3.48 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ARMOR STAR | 15.8% | 6.32 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SO WE JOY | 10.9% | 9.15 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER | 9.1% | 11.03 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 8.1% | 12.36 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE DESIRE | 7.8% | 12.86 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 6.5% | 15.30 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 4.9% | 20.56 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SPARKY STAR | 2.4% | 42.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 1.7% | 58.41 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | TELECOM MISSILE | 1.4% | 71.43 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 1.0% | 96.04 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | MOON PEAKS | 1.0% | 99.48 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | WINS ALL | 0.6% | 162.29 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 81.5
PLACE
3 25.5
4 15
13 31.5
QUINELLA
3,4 160
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 66.5
3,13 153.5
4,13 90.5
TIERCE
3,4,13 3,609
TRIO
3,4,13 734
FIRST 4
2,3,4,13 515
QUARTET
3,4,13,2 12,547
1ST DOUBLE
7/3 186
7/4 55
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 22.5
A3 —