Sha Tin · 2020-05-24
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-24 was Griffin over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LIKE THAT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Moore, won by 1-1/2, with CHANCHENG PRINCE second and ENCHANTING START third. The 2.5 favourite SUNNY STAR finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LIKE THAT B 1.10.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 2 | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | CHANCHENG PRINCE A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | ENCHANTING START TT1 B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 5 | 82.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER TEN C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SMILING FACE B/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | TINKER BELLE B1 M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 88.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | SUNNY STAR TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 2.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | FORTUNE TRIPLE M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 162.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SEA MONARCH SR1/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SMILING FACE | 29.6% | 3.38 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | LIKE THAT | 21.5% | 4.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SUNNY STAR | 15.9% | 6.28 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 10.8% | 9.26 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER TEN | 9.1% | 11.02 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | TINKER BELLE | 5.0% | 20.04 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | SEA MONARCH | 4.6% | 21.67 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 2.0% | 49.85 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | ENCHANTING START | 1.5% | 64.67 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 44.5
PLACE
2 21.5
3 139
7 15
QUINELLA
2,7 173.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 401.5
2,7 51.5
3,7 339.5
TIERCE
7,2,3 6,993
TRIO
2,3,7 2,076
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 2,239
QUARTET
7,2,3,8 38,207
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16