Sha Tin · 2020-05-24
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP 1.08.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 4 | 1.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BIZ POWER B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CRUISING C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 8.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 10 | 121.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MOERAKI H-/CP1 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 1 | 103.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 49.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WIND N GRASS TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 6.2 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | BIG BROOK C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HAFEET ALAIN B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 5 | 87.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY TIME TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 23.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 518.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO B1/TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 7 | 162.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-24 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOOD LUCK FRIEND, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/4, with BIZ POWER second and CRUISING third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 59.2% | 1.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | WIND N GRASS | 10.9% | 9.18 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | BIZ POWER | 7.0% | 14.20 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CRUISING | 5.8% | 17.11 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY TIME | 5.0% | 19.81 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE | 4.2% | 23.90 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | BIG BROOK | 3.2% | 31.22 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 1.2% | 80.24 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEP YOU WARM | 1.0% | 99.62 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | MOERAKI | 1.0% | 104.18 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | HAFEET ALAIN | 0.9% | 106.88 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 0.4% | 243.43 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 16.5
PLACE
1 18.5
6 16.5
10 11
QUINELLA
6,10 48
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 63.5
1,10 22.5
6,10 24
TIERCE
10,6,1 258
TRIO
1,6,10 90
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 1,038
QUARTET
10,6,1,7 7,667
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/1,6,10 1,314
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/6 31
2/10 40