沙田 · 2020-05-24
第 11場
2020-05-24沙田第11場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由N Callan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的BAND OF BROTHERS勝出，贏出NOSE。GLORIOUS SPECTRUM獲得亞軍；HAPPY FUN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門GLORIOUS SPECTRUM跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BAND OF BROTHERS 後段發力 B1 1.21.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 12.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 2 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM 後段發力 CP1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY FUN B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | DAN CONTROL 後段發力 H-/XB C Wong · J Moore | C Wong | J Moore | 13 | 80.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | KING OPIE 後段發力 V V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 7 | 143.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | GOOD STANDING B-/XB-/TT2 C L Chau · J Moore | C L Chau | J Moore | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | BEAUTY RUSH E C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | WILL POWER XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | SUNNY BOY B/TT M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 12 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | TRANSCENDENT 後段發力 TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 8.7 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | STYLING CITY 早段領放 B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 203.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | GREEN LUCK 後段發力 M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 10 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 4 | 17.0 | 5 |
| — | 12 | CIRCUIT THREE C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | WILL POWER | 23.3% | 4.29 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY FUN | 20.3% | 4.93 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | GLORIOUS SPECTRUM | 13.4% | 7.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | TRANSCENDENT | 10.6% | 9.45 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 9.8% | 10.17 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | DAN CONTROL | 5.6% | 17.76 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | BEAUTY RUSH | 4.6% | 21.92 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | GOOD STANDING | 3.0% | 33.72 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | WATER DIVINER | 2.7% | 36.62 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | GREEN LUCK | 2.4% | 42.36 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | SUNNY BOY | 1.9% | 52.84 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | KING OPIE | 1.2% | 82.73 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | STYLING CITY | 1.2% | 83.01 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 125.5
PLACE
2 17
3 16
5 32
QUINELLA
2,5 251.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 41
2,5 87.5
3,5 76
TIERCE
5,2,3 1,994
TRIO
2,3,5 218
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 3,097
QUARTET
5,2,3,10 83,729
10TH DOUBLE
12/2 37
12/5 1,107
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 33.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
9,12,13/2,3,5 3,081,791
SIX UP
6,8/5,7,11/1,5/8,10/9,12/2,5 8,087
8/5,7/1/10/12/5 257,288
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
10/12/2 715
10/12/5 10,503