跑馬地 · 2020-06-10
第 1場
2020-06-10跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的HARRIER JET勝出，贏出1-3/4。SHINING ON獲得亞軍；TRUE LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HARRIER JET B 1.09.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SHINING ON M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 5 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | TRUE LEGEND CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL P-/H/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 9 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 7.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING KNIGHT E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | ATHENA TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 12 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BREEZE OF SPRING V A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 10 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | FLYING SPIRIT C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 8 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SO GLORIOUS H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 130.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | JOYFUL CHEERS TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 1 | 43.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HARRIER JET | 28.6% | 3.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 16.8% | 5.95 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | TRUE LEGEND | 15.5% | 6.44 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | BULLISH BROTHER | 8.7% | 11.43 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | FLYING SPIRIT | 7.0% | 14.34 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT | 5.9% | 17.09 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | SHINING ON | 5.7% | 17.43 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 4.1% | 24.35 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL | 2.5% | 40.10 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | ATHENA | 2.2% | 44.45 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 2.2% | 44.94 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | SO GLORIOUS | 0.7% | 142.70 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 25
PLACE
3 17.5
5 12.5
12 36
QUINELLA
5,12 187
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 25.5
3,12 101.5
5,12 70
TIERCE
5,12,3 1,469
TRIO
3,5,12 223
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 841
QUARTET
5,12,3,9 15,136
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A2 —
A3 —