跑馬地 · 2020-06-10
第 8場
2020-06-10跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA RAD勝出，贏出2。SHAMPORT獲得亞軍；LORIZ獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門COMPASSION SPIRIT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT 1.09.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | SHAMPORT TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 2 | 8.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | LORIZ V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 10 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | COMPASSION SPIRIT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 2.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | TELECOM PUMA SR/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CUE THE MUSIC SR/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 3 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 7 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 11 | 39.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | VICTORY IN HAND TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 4 | 7.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | STAY CHILL M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 190.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 9 | 15.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | JOLLY GOOD HEART H A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 62.0 | 17 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 38.6% | 2.59 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 13.6% | 7.38 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | VICTORY IN HAND | 12.8% | 7.79 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | TELECOM PUMA | 7.9% | 12.62 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY SPARK | 6.0% | 16.61 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | SHAMPORT | 5.2% | 19.17 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | LORIZ | 4.8% | 20.72 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY | 4.5% | 22.34 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | CUE THE MUSIC | 3.0% | 32.99 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 1.8% | 56.46 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | KEEP YOU WARM | 1.3% | 76.52 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | STAY CHILL | 0.5% | 219.57 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 43.5
PLACE
5 17.5
9 37.5
10 25
QUINELLA
5,10 212
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 92.5
5,10 62.5
9,10 174
TIERCE
5,10,9 3,724
TRIO
5,9,10 799
FIRST 4
5,7,9,10 398
QUARTET
5,10,9,7 12,293
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
1/5 387
1/10 78.5