跑馬地 · 2020-06-10
第 6場
2020-06-10跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY DARCI勝出，贏出2。HERE COMES TED獲得亞軍；RESOLUTE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SKY DARCI TT 1.09.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 2.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | HERE COMES TED CP K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 8 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | RESOLUTE B/XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 2 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | ARDENODE TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MY FAMILY H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 159.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY H-/P-/B1 Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | INTERSTELLAR H-/B/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 10 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | MANY GAINS V B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 1 | 87.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | DRAGON IN FIELD H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 7 | 123.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CONFUCIUS DAY B/TT K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 5 | 9.8 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | VERY RICH MAN H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 42.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 11.0 | 69-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SKY DARCI | 26.4% | 3.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CONFUCIUS DAY | 14.0% | 7.14 | 10 |
| 3 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 13.8% | 7.26 | 12 |
| 4 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 11.6% | 8.63 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | HERE COMES TED | 8.4% | 11.89 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | RESOLUTE | 8.0% | 12.52 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | INTERSTELLAR | 6.6% | 15.22 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | ARDENODE | 3.7% | 27.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | VERY RICH MAN | 3.0% | 33.57 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | MY FAMILY | 2.1% | 47.75 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | DRAGON IN FIELD | 1.6% | 61.91 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | MANY GAINS | 0.9% | 109.48 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 22
PLACE
4 13
9 18.5
11 22
QUINELLA
4,9 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 33
4,11 31
9,11 71.5
TIERCE
4,9,11 453
TRIO
4,9,11 125
FIRST 4
4,9,10,11 703
QUARTET
4,9,11,10 6,329
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
4/4 196.5
4/9 114.5